firing / Firing now · dividends

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Last 5 daily bars · Dividend aristocrats (sample)

Scan notes

Every classic signal rule that fired in the last 5 daily bars across Dividend aristocrats (sample) (19 names), joined with that rule's historical 1-month record on that ticker. Study-grade rows (n≥10) first; 75/10 is an in-sample sort, not a proven edge.

Today's scan

A firing is a regime label on the last daily bars, not a trigger and not a forecast. Win rate and count are that rule’s history on that symbol. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence. If the last bar date is older than the last completed session, it is not today’s read — say so.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
KOWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 75.0% · n=28
WMTEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 75.0% · n=12
TWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 73.1% · n=26
JNJWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 72.0% · n=25
TCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 68.4% · n=19
GDWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 72.0% · n=25
WMTCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 68.4% · n=19
KOCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 66.7% · n=27
ITWMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 65.0% · n=20
JNJCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 61.5% · n=13
LOWRSI(14) cross 30LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 63.6% · n=11
WMTMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 63.2% · n=19
JNJBB lower band bounceLONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 61.5% · n=13
CVXEMA 9/21 death crossSHORTFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 61.5% · n=13
GDMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 61.5% · n=26
JNJStoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 58.8% · n=17
LOWWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 58.1% · n=31
ADPCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 58.3% · n=24
SYYMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 55.0% · n=20
KOEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGFIRED2026-10-122026-10-12Win 53.8% · n=13
EMRWilliams %R cross -20SHORTFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 54.8% · n=31
GDCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-062026-10-06Win 55.0% · n=20
KOMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 52.4% · n=21
LOWCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 54.2% · n=24
SWKCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 52.6% · n=19
EMRCCI cross 100SHORTFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 50.0% · n=20
EMRStoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTFIRED2026-10-072026-10-07Win 51.4% · n=35
CVXMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 50.0% · n=22
ADPMACD bullish crossLONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 50.0% · n=22
TGTWilliams %R cross -80LONGFIRED2026-10-082026-10-08Win 51.9% · n=27
TGTCCI cross -100LONGFIRED2026-10-092026-10-09Win 52.2% · n=23
ADPEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 45.5% · n=11
CLWilliams %R cross -20SHORTSTUDY2026-10-072026-10-07Win 47.4% · n=38
ADPWilliams %R cross -80LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 47.2% · n=36
XOMMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 45.0% · n=20
LOWMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 47.1% · n=17
PEPCCI cross -100LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 43.8% · n=32
SYYWilliams %R cross -80LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 45.2% · n=31
CLEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 43.8% · n=16
MCDMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 44.4% · n=18
GDStoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 42.9% · n=14
PGMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-072026-10-07Win 43.5% · n=23
MCDWilliams %R cross -80LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 43.6% · n=39
XOMWilliams %R cross -20SHORTSTUDY2026-10-072026-10-07Win 42.2% · n=45
PEPWilliams %R cross -80LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 41.5% · n=41
PEPMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 41.2% · n=17
ITWMACD bearish crossSHORTSTUDY2026-10-072026-10-07Win 38.1% · n=21
TGTBB lower band bounceLONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 40.0% · n=10
CLMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 36.8% · n=19
CVXEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 30.8% · n=13
SYYStoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 29.4% · n=17
ABTMACD bullish crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 27.3% · n=22
PGEMA 9/21 golden crossLONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 23.1% · n=13

Win 1mo / count are this rule's history on that symbol, not a prediction. Rows with n<10 are anecdotes (folded below). The 75/10 screen is an in-sample sort, not a proven edge. Open a name for the full 5d / 1mo / 3mo table, or a rule for the method.

Anecdotes (n<10) — not headline hit rates

These rows have fewer than 10 measurable 1-month firings. A 100% win on n=1 is not a claim.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
MCDMFI cross 20LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 100.0% · n=2
MCDRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 80.0% · n=5
ADPMFI cross 20LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 66.7% · n=6
LOWMFI cross 20LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 66.7% · n=6
EMRMFI cross 80SHORTSTUDY2026-10-072026-10-07Win 66.7% · n=6
GDRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 60.0% · n=5
JNJRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 60.0% · n=5
GDMFI cross 20LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 50.0% · n=2
XOMSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 50.0% · n=8
TRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 50.0% · n=8
PEPMFI cross 20LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 33.3% · n=6
CLSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 33.3% · n=3
PEPRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 20.0% · n=5
PGSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 0.0% · n=3
FAQ

What does firing mean?

A rule fires when its condition printed on one of the last 5 daily bars for a name in this universe. Win 1mo / count on each row are that rule's history on that symbol, not a prediction. Method: /methodology. Legal caveats: /help.

What universe is this?

This scan is dividends — Dividend aristocrats (sample) — 19 names. The default is mega-caps at /firing. Switch universes with the pills above. It is not a buy or sell list.

Method

On this site every rule is scored the same way: run it over about two years of daily bars, record each firing, and measure what the name did 5 days, 1 month and 3 months later. Sell signals are measured as shorts, so a positive return is a profitable short (side-adjusted). The composite score is 0.6 × average return + 0.4 × (win rate − 50), with longer horizons weighted more. Nothing here is a forecast.

Same scan as GET /api/firing?universe=dividends.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.