adp / ADP — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on ADP
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on ADP, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 328 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 58.3% · n=24HIST | 48.0% | 58.3%n=24 | 56.5% | 24 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 72.7% · n=22HIST | 50.0% | 72.7%n=22 | 42.1% | 22 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=22HIST | 50.0% | 50.0%n=22 | 60.0% | 22 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 56.5% · n=23HIST | 43.5% | 56.5%n=23 | 45.0% | 23 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 64.3% · n=42HIST | 45.2% | 64.3%n=42 | 42.9% | 42 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=12HIST | 30.8% | 50.0%n=12 | 45.5% | 12 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 56.0% · n=25HIST | 48.0% | 56.0%n=25 | 40.0% | 25 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 47.2% · n=36STUDY | 54.1% | 47.2%n=36 | 48.6% | 36 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 45.5% · n=11STUDY | 33.3% | 45.5%n=11 | 54.5% | 11 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 39.1% · n=23STUDY | 38.5% | 39.1%n=23 | 40.9% | 23 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 42.9% · n=14STUDY | 28.6% | 42.9%n=14 | 33.3% | 14 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 33.3% · n=18STUDY | 33.3% | 33.3%n=18 | 38.9% | 18 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 83.3% · n=6STUDY | 83.3% | 83.3%n=6 | 66.7% | 6 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY | 66.7% | 66.7%n=6 | 66.7% | 6 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY | 42.9% | 57.1%n=7 | 71.4% | 7 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY | 33.3% | 66.7%n=3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY | 75.0% | 75.0%n=4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY | 37.5% | 50.0%n=8 | 50.0% | 8 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 0.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY | 20.0% | 50.0%n=4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 100.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 0.0% | 2 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=ADP. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for ADP from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 272.33
- High
- 274.45
- Low
- 271.96
- Close
- 273.81
- Volume
- 1,136,500
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 273.41
- R1
- 274.85
- R2
- 275.90
- R3
- 277.34
- S1
- 272.36
- S2
- 270.92
- S3
- 269.87
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 266.43
- SMA 50
- 270.95
- SMA 200
- 235.37
Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 58.7. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 58.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 90.2 | Overbought |
| Williams %R | -3.5 | Overbought |
| MFI(14) | 35.7 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 96.7 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | -0.442 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 266.43 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 270.95 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 235.37 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 273.41 | close above PP |
| Pivot R1 | 274.85 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 272.36 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for ADP are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 273.81 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on ADP?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), ADP printed open 272.33, high 274.45, low 271.96, close 273.81, volume 1,136,500. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 273.41, R1 274.85, R2 275.90, R3 277.34, S1 272.36, S2 270.92, S3 269.87. SMA 20 is 266.43; SMA 50 is 270.95; SMA 200 is 235.37. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on ADP?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, CCI cross -100 has Win 58.3% · n=24. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on ADP (500 daily bars, 328 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is ADP overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 58.7. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.