pep / What works on PEP

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on PEP, measured on daily bars (2024-08-27 โ†’ 2026-08-27, 502 bars, 326 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

What works on PEP

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
MFI cross 80SELL83.3%100.0%100.0%6
Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL62.5%75.0%66.7%8
CCI cross 100SELL79.2%69.6%59.1%25
EMA 9/21 death crossSELL62.5%60.0%66.7%16
MACD bearish crossSELL52.6%63.2%64.7%19
RSI(14) cross 70SELL33.3%66.7%66.7%3
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL66.7%33.3%66.7%3
Williams %R cross -20SELL63.3%60.7%48.1%31
MFI cross 20BUY50.0%33.3%66.7%6
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL60.0%60.0%50.0%21
SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY0.0%0.0%100.0%1
Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY33.3%33.3%66.7%4
BB upper band rejectSELL66.7%50.0%41.7%13
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY46.2%42.3%45.5%26
CCI cross -100BUY45.7%40.0%39.3%35
BB lower band bounceBUY55.6%33.3%37.5%18
MACD bullish crossBUY47.4%36.8%37.5%19
Williams %R cross -80BUY42.2%40.9%33.3%45
EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY25.0%33.3%35.7%16
RSI(14) cross 30BUY57.1%14.3%28.6%7
SMA 50/200 death crossSELL50.0%0.0%0.0%2
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY50.0%0.0%0.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=PEP. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: MFI cross 80 ยท Squeeze fire (bearish) ยท CCI cross 100.

Why it moved

TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.

Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.

Honest caveats

  • Past โ‰  future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.