signals / RSI(14) cross 30

RSI(14) cross 30 is a long-side study. Fires when the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 — leaving the oversold zone.

Quiet day for this theme

Today is quiet for RSI(14) cross 30 — no study-grade (n≥10) firings among 30 mega-cap names in the last 5 daily bars. That is today's scan result, not a forecast, and not a LONG/SHORT call. Historical context and other themes that did fire are below — not invented firings for this theme.

Historical context on tracked names

Same rank engine as /t/spy. These are HIST hit rates on the tracked sample, not today's firings. Study-grade rows (n≥10) first; n<10 anecdotes are folded below.

No study-grade (n≥10) HIST rows on the tracked sample. Thin samples (n<10) are folded below — they are not headline hit rates.

Anecdotes (n<10) — not headline hit rates

These rows have fewer than 10 measurable 1-month firings. A 100% win on n=1 is not a claim.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
TSLARSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 80.0% · n=5
NVDARSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 100.0% · n=2
QQQRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 60.0% · n=5
SPXRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 66.7% · n=6
SPYRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 60.0% · n=5
MSFTRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 62.5% · n=8
AAPLRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 71.4% · n=7
IWMRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 50.0% · n=6

Themes firing today — Golden cross · MACD bullish · RSI overbought · Death cross.

Rules firing today — EMA 9/21 golden cross · Williams %R cross -80 · CCI cross 100 · CCI cross -100.

Also study — SPY technicals · Most mega-caps closed above SMA200 as of 2026-10-12. · full firing scan.

FAQ

What is RSI(14) cross 30?

RSI(14) cross 30 is a long-side study. Fires when the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 — leaving the oversold zone.

Which names are firing it?

No study-grade (n≥10) mega-cap firings in the last 5 daily bars. Thin samples (n<10): HD, JNJ, PEP.

What is the sample?

Hit rates use the same rank engine as /t/spy on a fixed sample (SPY, SPX, QQQ, IWM, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA). 8 of those names have a measurable history for this rule. Windows are 5 days, 1 month and 3 months on daily bars. Last bar in sample: 2026-10-12. Method: /methodology. Caveats: /help.

Why is today quiet for this study?

No study-grade (n≥10) mega-cap firings for RSI(14) cross 30 in the last 5 daily bars. Historical context on tracked names and other rules that did fire are in the quiet-day study pack — not invented firings. See SPY technicals, /breadth, and /firing.

What does RSI(14) cross 30 measure?

Fires on the daily bar the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 (prior bar at or below 30, this bar above). Catalog reading: leaving the conventional oversold zone. Underlying math: see How it works on this page. Catalog line: Fires when the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 — leaving the oversold zone.

What does a firing mean?

A firing is the daily bar where this rule’s condition becomes true (a cross or a flip). It is a study event, not a recommendation to buy or sell. Forward windows on this site are close-to-close with no costs. Study side is long-side (LONG). A positive forward return is a rise in the close after the print — a scoring convention, not a recommendation to buy. Method: /methodology.

Why can the sample be small?

Hit rates need enough dated prints with a completed forward window. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence — the same caveat as /help. Slow rules (especially 50/200 SMA crosses) often have single-digit counts on a two-year tape. We do not invent a hit rate when the count is missing. Names in this sample with a measurable history include NVDA · TSLA · AAPL · SPX.

How it works

Wilder RSI on the daily close with period 14. Up-moves and down-moves use an exponential average with alpha = 1/14 (min_periods=14, adjust=False). RS is average gain divided by average loss. RSI = 100 − 100 / (1 + RS). A firing is the daily bar where RSI crosses a fixed threshold — not the bar it first enters the zone.

Fires on the daily bar the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 (prior bar at or below 30, this bar above). Catalog reading: leaving the conventional oversold zone.

Definition comes from the rank-rule catalog and the indicator defaults in this repo. Slug rsi-14-cross-30 is listed on /api/meta.

How to read it

Study side is long-side (labeled LONG on firing chips). A positive forward return on this page is a rise in the close after the print. That is how the event is scored — not a recommendation to buy. Textbook RSI treats 30 / 70 as conventional oversold / overbought lines. This page records the exit of those zones (a cross), which is a weaker claim than “the name is oversold.” Read the print as a dated study event on daily bars, then look at the hit-rate table for how often similar events were followed by a positive side-adjusted move — not as a forecast for the next bar.

Scoring on this site is shared across every rule (5-day / 1-month / 3-month close-to-close windows, side-adjusted). See How it is scored here below. Names in the tracked sample with a measurable history include NVDA · TSLA · AAPL · SPX. Those figures are the same rows as the hit-rate table below — not a second ranking. Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

When it fails

  • RSI can stay under 30 (or over 70) for a long decline (or advance); repeated zone exits are not a reversal.
  • Thresholds 30 and 70 are conventions. This site does not search for a “better” cutoff.
  • Wilder smoothing is slower than a simple average — late prints in a fast move are expected.
  • Past ≠ future. A historical hit rate is not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
  • Overlap bias. Clustered prints can credit the same later move more than once.

Same caveats as the rest of the site: /methodology · /help.

How it is scored here

On this site every rule is scored the same way: run it over about two years of daily bars, record each firing, and measure what the name did 5 days, 1 month and 3 months later. Sell signals are measured as shorts, so a positive return is a profitable short (side-adjusted). The composite score is 0.6 × average return + 0.4 × (win rate − 50), with longer horizons weighted more. Nothing here is a forecast.

Full catalog: /signals. Method: /methodology. Slug rsi-14-cross-30 is stable and listed on /api/meta.

Same family: RSI(14) cross 70

Firing now (mega-caps, last 5 bars)

SymbolLast date Win 1moCount
HD2026-10-06Win 66.7% · n=9STUDY66.7%n=99
JNJ2026-10-06Win 60.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%n=55
PEP2026-10-08Win 20.0% · n=5STUDY20.0%n=55

Hit rates on tracked names

Same rank engine as /t/spy, /t/nvda, and /t/spx, restricted to this rule.

Symbol Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count Last bar
TSLA60.0%80.0%n=5100.0%52026-10-12
NVDA100.0%100.0%n=250.0%22026-10-12
QQQ80.0%60.0%n=5100.0%52026-10-12
SPX66.7%66.7%n=6100.0%62026-10-12
SPY80.0%60.0%n=5100.0%52026-10-12
MSFT62.5%62.5%n=875.0%82026-10-12
AAPL71.4%71.4%n=771.4%72026-10-12
IWM33.3%50.0%n=666.7%62026-10-12

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.