mcd / What works on MCD
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MCD, measured on daily bars (2024-08-29 → 2026-08-28, 501 bars, 323 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
What works on MCD
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFI cross 20BUY | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY | 50.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL | 100.0% | 100.0% | 66.7% | 3 |
| BB upper band rejectSELL | 45.5% | 54.5% | 90.9% | 11 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SELL | 44.4% | 66.7% | 77.8% | 9 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL | 56.5% | 65.2% | 68.2% | 23 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY | 56.5% | 68.2% | 68.4% | 23 |
| RSI(14) cross 30BUY | 60.0% | 80.0% | 60.0% | 5 |
| MFI cross 80SELL | 33.3% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 3 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY | 40.0% | 62.5% | 71.4% | 10 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY | 46.2% | 58.3% | 63.6% | 13 |
| CCI cross 100SELL | 53.6% | 51.9% | 61.5% | 28 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY | 66.7% | 33.3% | 66.7% | 3 |
| Williams %R cross -20SELL | 51.2% | 46.3% | 57.5% | 43 |
| BB lower band bounceBUY | 42.9% | 57.1% | 53.8% | 15 |
| Williams %R cross -80BUY | 41.0% | 47.4% | 59.4% | 40 |
| CCI cross -100BUY | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 24 |
| MACD bullish crossBUY | 47.4% | 47.4% | 52.9% | 20 |
| MACD bearish crossSELL | 52.6% | 44.4% | 50.0% | 20 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL | 66.7% | 55.6% | 22.2% | 10 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSELL | 30.8% | 50.0% | 18.2% | 13 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSELL | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 3 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MCD. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: MFI cross 20 · ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong) · ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong).
Why it moved
TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.
Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.