mcd / MCD — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on MCD
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MCD, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 312 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 61.9% · n=21HIST | 57.1% | 61.9%n=21 | 66.7% | 21 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 62.5% · n=24HIST | 51.9% | 62.5%n=24 | 61.9% | 24 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 64.3% · n=14HIST | 40.0% | 64.3%n=14 | 61.5% | 14 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=18HIST | 55.6% | 50.0%n=18 | 56.2% | 18 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 57.1% · n=21HIST | 50.0% | 57.1%n=21 | 57.9% | 21 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 60.0% · n=10HIST | 60.0% | 60.0%n=10 | 22.2% | 10 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 58.3% · n=12HIST | 33.3% | 58.3%n=12 | 27.3% | 12 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 40.0% · n=10STUDY | 50.0% | 40.0%n=10 | 80.0% | 10 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 48.1% · n=27STUDY | 55.6% | 48.1%n=27 | 57.7% | 27 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 43.6% · n=39STUDY | 51.3% | 43.6%n=39 | 56.8% | 39 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 43.6% · n=39STUDY | 36.6% | 43.6%n=39 | 52.9% | 39 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 41.7% · n=12STUDY | 41.7% | 41.7%n=12 | 45.5% | 12 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 44.4% · n=18STUDY | 38.9% | 44.4%n=18 | 43.8% | 18 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY | 42.9% | 57.1%n=7 | 85.7% | 7 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 0.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 100.0% | 2 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 100.0% | 33.3%n=3 | 66.7% | 3 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 80.0% · n=5STUDY | 60.0% | 80.0%n=5 | 40.0% | 5 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 44.4% · n=9STUDY | 33.3% | 44.4%n=9 | 57.1% | 9 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 0.0% | 33.3%n=3 | 33.3% | 3 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MCD. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for MCD from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 235.23
- High
- 236.14
- Low
- 232.50
- Close
- 235.65
- Volume
- 4,347,400
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 234.76
- R1
- 237.03
- R2
- 238.40
- R3
- 240.67
- S1
- 233.39
- S2
- 231.12
- S3
- 229.75
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 238.73
- SMA 50
- 254.15
- SMA 200
- 284.08
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 37.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 37.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 30.2 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -69.5 | Neutral |
| MFI(14) | 30.2 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | -43.4 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | -6.014 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 238.73 | close below |
| SMA 50 | 254.15 | close below |
| SMA 200 | 284.08 | close below |
| Pivot PP | 234.76 | close above PP |
| Pivot R1 | 237.03 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 233.39 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for MCD are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 235.65 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on MCD?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), MCD printed open 235.23, high 236.14, low 232.50, close 235.65, volume 4,347,400. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 234.76, R1 237.03, R2 238.40, R3 240.67, S1 233.39, S2 231.12, S3 229.75. SMA 20 is 238.73; SMA 50 is 254.15; SMA 200 is 284.08. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on MCD?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought) has Win 61.9% · n=21. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on MCD (500 daily bars, 312 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is MCD overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 37.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.