firing / Squeeze fire

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Squeeze fire — Fires when a TTM Squeeze releases with signed momentum (bullish or bearish). Mega-cap names that fired this theme in the last 5 daily bars (30 names scanned). Write-up: Squeeze fire (bullish) · Squeeze fire (bearish).

Today's scan

A firing is a regime label on the last daily bars, not a trigger and not a forecast. Win rate and count are that rule’s history on that symbol. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence. If the last bar date is older than the last completed session, it is not today’s read — say so.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
ABBVSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGFIRED2026-10-122026-10-12Win 70.0% · n=10

Win 1mo / count are this rule's history on that symbol, not a prediction. Rows with n<10 are anecdotes (folded below). The 75/10 screen is an in-sample sort, not a proven edge. Open a name for the full 5d / 1mo / 3mo table, or a rule for the method.

Anecdotes (n<10) — not headline hit rates

These rows have fewer than 10 measurable 1-month firings. A 100% win on n=1 is not a claim.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
AMZNSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 100.0% · n=3
TSLASqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 75.0% · n=4
MASqueeze fire (bearish)SHORTSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 57.1% · n=7
XOMSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 50.0% · n=8
COSTSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 22.2% · n=9
PGSqueeze fire (bullish)LONGSTUDY2026-10-092026-10-09Win 0.0% · n=3
FAQ

What does this page show?

Today's mega-cap firing scan (/firing), kept only when the rule is Squeeze fire (bullish) · Squeeze fire (bearish). Same events as GET /api/firing?universe=mega, filtered by the catalog slugs squeeze-fire-bullish, squeeze-fire-bearish.

Is this a new signal?

No. The math is the rank-panel rule already listed on /api/meta. This URL is a named cut for crawlers and for people who want one theme.

Is this a recommendation?

No. Historical 1-month win rates on daily bars, not a forecast and not a buy or sell list.

Method

On this site every rule is scored the same way: run it over about two years of daily bars, record each firing, and measure what the name did 5 days, 1 month and 3 months later. Sell signals are measured as shorts, so a positive return is a profitable short (side-adjusted). The composite score is 0.6 × average return + 0.4 × (win rate − 50), with longer horizons weighted more. Nothing here is a forecast.

Filtered from the same scan as GET /api/firing?universe=mega. Full scan (every rule): /firing.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.