msft / MSFT — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on MSFT

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MSFT, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 316 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 45.0% · n=20STUDY60.0%45.0%n=2065.0%20
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 44.0% · n=25STUDY57.7%44.0%n=2554.2%25
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 47.1% · n=17STUDY44.4%47.1%n=1753.3%17
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 46.2% · n=13STUDY38.5%46.2%n=1353.8%13
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 40.0% · n=20STUDY52.4%40.0%n=2055.0%20
CCI cross -100LONGWin 47.4% · n=19STUDY31.6%47.4%n=1952.6%19
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 38.5% · n=26STUDY46.2%38.5%n=2652.4%26
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 47.6% · n=21STUDY42.9%47.6%n=2150.0%21
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 36.1% · n=36STUDY43.2%36.1%n=3648.4%36
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 42.1% · n=19STUDY31.6%42.1%n=1941.2%19
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 29.6% · n=27STUDY37.0%29.6%n=2739.1%27
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY66.7%100.0%n=366.7%3
MFI cross 20LONGWin 80.0% · n=5STUDY80.0%80.0%n=560.0%5
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY62.5%62.5%n=875.0%8
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 66.7% · n=9STUDY55.6%66.7%n=928.6%9
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%0.0%n=2100.0%2
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 44.4% · n=9STUDY33.3%44.4%n=950.0%9
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=4STUDY25.0%0.0%n=475.0%4
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 33.3% · n=9STUDY44.4%33.3%n=937.5%9
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 33.3% · n=9STUDY40.0%33.3%n=937.5%9
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY83.3%33.3%n=616.7%6

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MSFT. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for MSFT from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
537.53
High
542.74
Low
535.70
Close
541.15
Volume
18,292,000

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
539.86
R1
544.03
R2
546.90
R3
551.07
S1
536.99
S2
532.82
S3
529.95

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
511.89
SMA 50
501.73
SMA 200
432.99

Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 69.9. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)69.9Neutral
Stochastic %K87.6Overbought
Williams %R-3.1Overbought
MFI(14)75.8Neutral
CCI(20)149.2Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)11.619above signal
SMA 20511.89close above
SMA 50501.73close above
SMA 200432.99close above
Pivot PP539.86close above PP
Pivot R1544.03classic resistance
Pivot S1536.99classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for MSFT are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 541.15 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on MSFT?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), MSFT printed open 537.53, high 542.74, low 535.70, close 541.15, volume 18,292,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 539.86, R1 544.03, R2 546.90, R3 551.07, S1 536.99, S2 532.82, S3 529.95. SMA 20 is 511.89; SMA 50 is 501.73; SMA 200 is 432.99. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on MSFT?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 45.0% · n=20. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on MSFT (500 daily bars, 316 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is MSFT overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 69.9. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.