firing / RSI oversold

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

RSI oversold — Long-side study. Fires when the 14-period RSI crosses above 30 — leaving the oversold zone. Mega-cap names that fired this theme in the last 5 daily bars (30 names scanned). Write-up: RSI(14) cross 30.

all rulesrsi-oversoldrsi-overboughtgolden-crossdeath-crossmacd-bullishmacd-bearishstoch-oversoldbb-bouncesqueeze-firesupertrend-up

Quiet day for this theme

Today is quiet for RSI oversold — no study-grade (n≥10) firings among 30 mega-cap names in the last 5 daily bars. That is today's scan result, not a forecast, and not a LONG/SHORT call. Historical context and other themes that did fire are below — not invented firings for this theme.

Historical context on tracked names

Same rank engine as /t/spy. These are HIST hit rates on the tracked sample, not today's firings. Study-grade rows (n≥10) first; n<10 anecdotes are folded below.

No study-grade (n≥10) HIST rows on the tracked sample. Thin samples (n<10) are folded below — they are not headline hit rates.

Anecdotes (n<10) — not headline hit rates

These rows have fewer than 10 measurable 1-month firings. A 100% win on n=1 is not a claim.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
TSLARSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 80.0% · n=5
NVDARSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 100.0% · n=2
QQQRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 60.0% · n=5
SPXRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 66.7% · n=6
SPYRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 60.0% · n=5
MSFTRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 62.5% · n=8
AAPLRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 71.4% · n=7
IWMRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-122026-10-12Win 50.0% · n=6

Themes firing today — Golden cross · MACD bullish · RSI overbought · Death cross.

Rules firing today — EMA 9/21 golden cross · Williams %R cross -80 · CCI cross 100 · CCI cross -100.

Also study — SPY technicals · Most mega-caps closed above SMA200 as of 2026-10-12. · full firing scan.

STALE BAR

A firing is a regime label on the last daily bars, not a trigger and not a forecast. Win rate and count are that rule’s history on that symbol. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence. If the last bar date is older than the last completed session, it is not today’s read — say so.

This is not today’s read.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
No study-grade (n≥10) RSI oversold firings among 30 mega-cap names in the last 5 daily bars. Thin samples are folded below.

Win 1mo / count are this rule's history on that symbol, not a prediction. Rows with n<10 are anecdotes (folded below). The 75/10 screen is an in-sample sort, not a proven edge. Open a name for the full 5d / 1mo / 3mo table, or a rule for the method.

Anecdotes (n<10) — not headline hit rates

These rows have fewer than 10 measurable 1-month firings. A 100% win on n=1 is not a claim.

SymbolRuleLast dateWin / n
HDRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 66.7% · n=9
JNJRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-062026-10-06Win 60.0% · n=5
PEPRSI(14) cross 30LONGSTUDY2026-10-082026-10-08Win 20.0% · n=5
FAQ

What does this page show?

Today's mega-cap firing scan (/firing), kept only when the rule is RSI(14) cross 30. Same events as GET /api/firing?universe=mega, filtered by the catalog slugs rsi-14-cross-30.

Is this a new signal?

No. The math is the rank-panel rule already listed on /api/meta. This URL is a named cut for crawlers and for people who want one theme.

Is this a recommendation?

No. Historical 1-month win rates on daily bars, not a forecast and not a buy or sell list.

Why is today quiet for this theme?

No study-grade (n≥10) RSI oversold firings among 30 mega-cap names in the last 5 daily bars. That is the live scan, not a forecast. Historical hit rates on tracked names and other themes that did fire are in the quiet-day study pack — not invented firings for this theme. See SPY technicals, /breadth, and /firing.

Method

On this site every rule is scored the same way: run it over about two years of daily bars, record each firing, and measure what the name did 5 days, 1 month and 3 months later. Sell signals are measured as shorts, so a positive return is a profitable short (side-adjusted). The composite score is 0.6 × average return + 0.4 × (win rate − 50), with longer horizons weighted more. Nothing here is a forecast.

Filtered from the same scan as GET /api/firing?universe=mega. Full scan (every rule): /firing.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.