iwm / IWM — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on IWM

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on IWM, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 313 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 70.0% · n=30HIST40.6%70.0%n=3080.0%30
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 70.0% · n=20HIST47.6%70.0%n=2078.9%20
CCI cross -100LONGWin 66.7% · n=24HIST38.5%66.7%n=2475.0%24
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 66.7% · n=12HIST28.6%66.7%n=1272.7%12
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 56.2% · n=16HIST25.0%56.2%n=1669.2%16
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 44.1% · n=34STUDY50.0%44.1%n=3428.1%34
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 32.3% · n=31STUDY45.2%32.3%n=3126.7%31
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 40.9% · n=44STUDY34.1%40.9%n=4422.5%44
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 30.0% · n=20STUDY30.0%30.0%n=2031.6%20
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 38.5% · n=13STUDY38.5%38.5%n=1316.7%13
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
MFI cross 20LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%60.0%n=5100.0%5
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 50.0% · n=6STUDY33.3%50.0%n=666.7%6
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY50.0%62.5%n=850.0%8
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY37.5%62.5%n=857.1%8
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%20.0%n=550.0%5
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 22.2% · n=9STUDY44.4%22.2%n=922.2%9
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 16.7% · n=6STUDY83.3%16.7%n=616.7%6
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 22.2% · n=9STUDY44.4%22.2%n=911.1%9
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%0.0%n=10.0%1
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%0.0%n=10.0%1

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=IWM. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for IWM from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
278.47
High
279.14
Low
277.79
Close
277.90
Volume
16,752,600

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
278.28
R1
278.76
R2
279.63
R3
280.11
S1
277.41
S2
276.93
S3
276.06

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
281.56
SMA 50
290.65
SMA 200
276.05

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 37.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)37.1Neutral
Stochastic %K26.9Neutral
Williams %R-71.0Neutral
MFI(14)27.2Neutral
CCI(20)-87.0Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)-3.287above signal
SMA 20281.56close below
SMA 50290.65close below
SMA 200276.05close above
Pivot PP278.28close below PP
Pivot R1278.76classic resistance
Pivot S1277.41classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for IWM are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 277.90 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on IWM?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), IWM printed open 278.47, high 279.14, low 277.79, close 277.90, volume 16,752,600. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 278.28, R1 278.76, R2 279.63, R3 280.11, S1 277.41, S2 276.93, S3 276.06. SMA 20 is 281.56; SMA 50 is 290.65; SMA 200 is 276.05. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on IWM?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 70.0% · n=30. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on IWM (500 daily bars, 313 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is IWM overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 37.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.