spx / SPX — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Daily bars for SPX are loaded via Yahoo alias ^GSPC; the symbol on the page stays SPX.

Historical hit rates on SPX

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on SPX, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 322 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 79.3% · n=29HIST53.3%79.3%n=2978.3%29
CCI cross -100LONGWin 75.0% · n=20HIST47.6%75.0%n=2081.2%20
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 63.2% · n=19HIST45.0%63.2%n=1983.3%19
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 70.0% · n=20HIST54.5%70.0%n=2073.7%20
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 69.2% · n=13HIST57.1%69.2%n=1363.6%13
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 35.1% · n=37STUDY57.9%35.1%n=3721.2%37
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 30.0% · n=10STUDY10.0%30.0%n=1037.5%10
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 37.2% · n=43STUDY42.2%37.2%n=4322.0%43
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=21STUDY31.8%33.3%n=2126.3%21
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 26.7% · n=30STUDY38.7%26.7%n=3017.9%30
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 15.4% · n=13STUDY30.8%15.4%n=137.7%13
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 9.1% · n=11STUDY36.4%9.1%n=110.0%11
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY66.7%66.7%n=6100.0%6
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY75.0%75.0%n=4100.0%4
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 77.8% · n=9STUDY50.0%77.8%n=962.5%9
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY25.0%50.0%n=475.0%4
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY62.5%33.3%n=633.3%6
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY0.0%20.0%n=520.0%5
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=3STUDY0.0%0.0%n=30.0%3

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=SPX. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for SPX from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
7,813.04
High
7,821.67
Low
7,796.94
Close
7,807.24
Volume
4,148,500,000

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
7,808.62
R1
7,820.29
R2
7,833.35
R3
7,845.02
S1
7,795.56
S2
7,783.89
S3
7,770.83

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
7,714.14
SMA 50
7,703.27
SMA 200
7,255.12

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.4. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)59.4Neutral
Stochastic %K78.1Neutral
Williams %R-16.4Overbought
MFI(14)47.6Neutral
CCI(20)105.9Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)36.657above signal
SMA 207714.14close above
SMA 507703.27close above
SMA 2007255.12close above
Pivot PP7808.62close below PP
Pivot R17820.29classic resistance
Pivot S17795.56classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for SPX are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 7807.24 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on SPX?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), SPX printed open 7,813.04, high 7,821.67, low 7,796.94, close 7,807.24, volume 4,148,500,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 7,808.62, R1 7,820.29, R2 7,833.35, R3 7,845.02, S1 7,795.56, S2 7,783.89, S3 7,770.83. SMA 20 is 7,714.14; SMA 50 is 7,703.27; SMA 200 is 7,255.12. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on SPX?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 79.3% · n=29. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on SPX (500 daily bars, 322 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is SPX overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.4. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.