spx / SPX — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Daily bars for SPX are loaded via Yahoo alias ^GSPC; the symbol on the page stays SPX.
Historical hit rates on SPX
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on SPX, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 322 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 79.3% · n=29HIST | 53.3% | 79.3%n=29 | 78.3% | 29 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 75.0% · n=20HIST | 47.6% | 75.0%n=20 | 81.2% | 20 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 63.2% · n=19HIST | 45.0% | 63.2%n=19 | 83.3% | 19 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 70.0% · n=20HIST | 54.5% | 70.0%n=20 | 73.7% | 20 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 69.2% · n=13HIST | 57.1% | 69.2%n=13 | 63.6% | 13 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 35.1% · n=37STUDY | 57.9% | 35.1%n=37 | 21.2% | 37 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 30.0% · n=10STUDY | 10.0% | 30.0%n=10 | 37.5% | 10 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 37.2% · n=43STUDY | 42.2% | 37.2%n=43 | 22.0% | 43 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=21STUDY | 31.8% | 33.3%n=21 | 26.3% | 21 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 26.7% · n=30STUDY | 38.7% | 26.7%n=30 | 17.9% | 30 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 15.4% · n=13STUDY | 30.8% | 15.4%n=13 | 7.7% | 13 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 9.1% · n=11STUDY | 36.4% | 9.1%n=11 | 0.0% | 11 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY | 66.7% | 66.7%n=6 | 100.0% | 6 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY | 75.0% | 75.0%n=4 | 100.0% | 4 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 77.8% · n=9STUDY | 50.0% | 77.8%n=9 | 62.5% | 9 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY | 25.0% | 50.0%n=4 | 75.0% | 4 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY | 62.5% | 33.3%n=6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY | 0.0% | 20.0%n=5 | 20.0% | 5 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=3STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=3 | 0.0% | 3 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=SPX. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for SPX from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 7,813.04
- High
- 7,821.67
- Low
- 7,796.94
- Close
- 7,807.24
- Volume
- 4,148,500,000
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 7,808.62
- R1
- 7,820.29
- R2
- 7,833.35
- R3
- 7,845.02
- S1
- 7,795.56
- S2
- 7,783.89
- S3
- 7,770.83
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 7,714.14
- SMA 50
- 7,703.27
- SMA 200
- 7,255.12
Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.4. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 59.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 78.1 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -16.4 | Overbought |
| MFI(14) | 47.6 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 105.9 | Overbought |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 36.657 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 7714.14 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 7703.27 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 7255.12 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 7808.62 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 7820.29 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 7795.56 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for SPX are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 7807.24 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on SPX?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), SPX printed open 7,813.04, high 7,821.67, low 7,796.94, close 7,807.24, volume 4,148,500,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 7,808.62, R1 7,820.29, R2 7,833.35, R3 7,845.02, S1 7,795.56, S2 7,783.89, S3 7,770.83. SMA 20 is 7,714.14; SMA 50 is 7,703.27; SMA 200 is 7,255.12. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on SPX?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 79.3% · n=29. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on SPX (500 daily bars, 322 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is SPX overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.4. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.