xly / XLY — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLY

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLY, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 322 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 50.0% · n=16HIST31.2%50.0%n=1676.9%16
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 52.4% · n=21HIST45.5%52.4%n=2170.0%21
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 66.7% · n=12HIST75.0%66.7%n=1250.0%12
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 63.6% · n=11HIST45.5%63.6%n=1155.6%11
CCI cross -100LONGWin 46.7% · n=30STUDY57.6%46.7%n=3063.0%30
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 42.9% · n=35STUDY48.7%42.9%n=3560.0%35
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 42.9% · n=21STUDY47.8%42.9%n=2147.1%21
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 41.4% · n=29STUDY27.6%41.4%n=2946.2%29
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 38.5% · n=26STUDY34.6%38.5%n=2644.0%26
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 36.1% · n=36STUDY38.9%36.1%n=3638.2%36
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 27.3% · n=11STUDY54.5%27.3%n=1133.3%11
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 42.9% · n=21STUDY38.1%42.9%n=2131.6%21
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%100.0%n=2100.0%2
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY66.7%100.0%n=3100.0%3
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%0.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY37.5%50.0%n=887.5%8
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY85.7%57.1%n=733.3%7
MFI cross 20LONGWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY37.5%33.3%n=633.3%6
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY50.0%33.3%n=633.3%6
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%50.0%n=425.0%4
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%0.0%n=20.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLY. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLY from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
112.71
High
112.86
Low
112.10
Close
112.27
Volume
3,936,600

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
112.41
R1
112.72
R2
113.17
R3
113.48
S1
111.96
S2
111.65
S3
111.20

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
110.74
SMA 50
114.16
SMA 200
115.63

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 52.0. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)52.0Neutral
Stochastic %K82.5Overbought
Williams %R-14.4Overbought
MFI(14)44.8Neutral
CCI(20)115.2Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)-0.500above signal
SMA 20110.74close above
SMA 50114.16close below
SMA 200115.63close below
Pivot PP112.41close below PP
Pivot R1112.72classic resistance
Pivot S1111.96classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLY are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 112.27 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLY?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLY printed open 112.71, high 112.86, low 112.10, close 112.27, volume 3,936,600. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 112.41, R1 112.72, R2 113.17, R3 113.48, S1 111.96, S2 111.65, S3 111.20. SMA 20 is 110.74; SMA 50 is 114.16; SMA 200 is 115.63. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLY?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB lower band bounce has Win 50.0% · n=16. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on XLY (500 daily bars, 322 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLY overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 52.0. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.