xlv / XLV — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLV

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLV, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 324 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 71.4% · n=14HIST66.7%71.4%n=1471.4%14
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 61.5% · n=13HIST38.5%61.5%n=1376.9%13
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 70.0% · n=10HIST63.6%70.0%n=1060.0%10
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 52.2% · n=23HIST58.3%52.2%n=2366.7%23
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 50.0% · n=26HIST67.9%50.0%n=2661.5%26
CCI cross -100LONGWin 52.6% · n=19HIST60.0%52.6%n=1963.2%19
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 45.5% · n=11STUDY33.3%45.5%n=1160.0%11
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 46.7% · n=30STUDY67.7%46.7%n=3042.3%30
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 37.5% · n=32STUDY46.9%37.5%n=3250.0%32
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 45.0% · n=20STUDY60.0%45.0%n=2029.4%20
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 39.0% · n=41STUDY50.0%39.0%n=4135.1%41
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=24STUDY28.0%33.3%n=2440.9%24
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 8.3% · n=12STUDY58.3%8.3%n=129.1%12
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
MFI cross 20LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY0.0%66.7%n=366.7%3
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 16.7% · n=6STUDY50.0%16.7%n=666.7%6
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 42.9% · n=7STUDY14.3%42.9%n=750.0%7
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY20.0%40.0%n=520.0%5
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 0.0% · n=6STUDY0.0%0.0%n=650.0%6
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY33.3%33.3%n=30.0%3
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%0.0%n=20.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLV. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLV from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
171.49
High
172.03
Low
170.85
Close
171.99
Volume
5,826,800

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
171.62
R1
172.40
R2
172.80
R3
173.58
S1
171.22
S2
170.44
S3
170.04

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
168.77
SMA 50
168.67
SMA 200
156.01

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 60.6. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)60.6Neutral
Stochastic %K76.0Neutral
Williams %R-0.6Overbought
MFI(14)50.4Neutral
CCI(20)148.6Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)0.397above signal
SMA 20168.77close above
SMA 50168.67close above
SMA 200156.01close above
Pivot PP171.62close above PP
Pivot R1172.40classic resistance
Pivot S1171.22classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLV are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 171.99 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLV?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLV printed open 171.49, high 172.03, low 170.85, close 171.99, volume 5,826,800. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 171.62, R1 172.40, R2 172.80, R3 173.58, S1 171.22, S2 170.44, S3 170.04. SMA 20 is 168.77; SMA 50 is 168.67; SMA 200 is 156.01. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLV?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 71.4% · n=14. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on XLV (500 daily bars, 324 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLV overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 60.6. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.