xlu / XLU — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLU

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLU, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 299 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 60.0% · n=15HIST82.4%60.0%n=1583.3%15
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 63.3% · n=30HIST59.4%63.3%n=3076.9%30
CCI cross -100LONGWin 52.4% · n=21HIST59.1%52.4%n=2176.5%21
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 52.4% · n=21HIST69.6%52.4%n=2170.6%21
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 64.3% · n=14HIST50.0%64.3%n=1457.1%14
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 57.9% · n=19HIST45.0%57.9%n=1962.5%19
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 61.1% · n=18HIST63.2%61.1%n=1846.7%18
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 50.0% · n=14HIST57.1%50.0%n=1442.9%14
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 41.7% · n=24STUDY50.0%41.7%n=2441.7%24
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 39.4% · n=33STUDY60.6%39.4%n=3331.2%33
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 42.9% · n=14STUDY50.0%42.9%n=1430.8%14
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 42.3% · n=26STUDY42.3%42.3%n=2624.0%26
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 83.3% · n=6STUDY50.0%83.3%n=683.3%6
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1—1
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%0.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%100.0%n=250.0%2
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 80.0% · n=5STUDY40.0%80.0%n=560.0%5
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=6STUDY66.7%50.0%n=666.7%6
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY33.3%33.3%n=366.7%3
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 66.7% · n=9STUDY33.3%66.7%n=928.6%9
MFI cross 20LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY40.0%50.0%n=433.3%4
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%0.0%n=10.0%1

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLU. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLU from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
41.46
High
41.64
Low
41.20
Close
41.63
Volume
16,550,400

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
41.49
R1
41.78
R2
41.93
R3
42.22
S1
41.34
S2
41.05
S3
40.90

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
40.42
SMA 50
41.97
SMA 200
43.77

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 57.0. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)57.0Neutral
Stochastic %K94.9Overbought
Williams %R-0.4Overbought
MFI(14)62.3Neutral
CCI(20)101.2Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)-0.248above signal
SMA 2040.42close above
SMA 5041.97close below
SMA 20043.77close below
Pivot PP41.49close above PP
Pivot R141.78classic resistance
Pivot S141.34classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLU are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 41.63 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLU?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLU printed open 41.46, high 41.64, low 41.20, close 41.63, volume 16,550,400. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 41.49, R1 41.78, R2 41.93, R3 42.22, S1 41.34, S2 41.05, S3 40.90. SMA 20 is 40.42; SMA 50 is 41.97; SMA 200 is 43.77. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLU?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB lower band bounce has Win 60.0% · n=15. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on XLU (500 daily bars, 299 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLU overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 57.0. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.