xlp / XLP — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLP

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLP, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 334 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 81.2% · n=16HIST64.7%81.2%n=1680.0%16
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 77.8% · n=18HIST61.1%77.8%n=1826.7%18
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 73.3% · n=30HIST58.8%73.3%n=3062.1%30
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 65.2% · n=23HIST50.0%65.2%n=2368.2%23
CCI cross -100LONGWin 66.7% · n=27HIST51.6%66.7%n=2765.4%27
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 56.0% · n=25HIST44.0%56.0%n=2540.0%25
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 53.7% · n=41HIST56.1%53.7%n=4134.2%41
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 55.2% · n=29HIST41.4%55.2%n=2928.0%29
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 45.5% · n=22STUDY31.8%45.5%n=2258.8%22
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 40.0% · n=15STUDY33.3%40.0%n=1560.0%15
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 45.5% · n=22STUDY31.8%45.5%n=2241.2%22
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 46.7% · n=15STUDY33.3%46.7%n=1542.9%15
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=5STUDY100.0%100.0%n=580.0%5
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY50.0%66.7%n=666.7%6
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY33.3%100.0%n=333.3%3
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=6STUDY50.0%50.0%n=660.0%6
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%100.0%n=20.0%2
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=10.0%1
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 0.0% · n=7STUDY28.6%0.0%n=750.0%7

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLP. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLP from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
83.58
High
84.41
Low
83.39
Close
84.41
Volume
7,324,100

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
84.07
R1
84.75
R2
85.09
R3
85.77
S1
83.73
S2
83.05
S3
82.71

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
82.17
SMA 50
83.64
SMA 200
82.86

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 61.3. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)61.3Neutral
Stochastic %K96.0Overbought
Williams %R-0.0Overbought
MFI(14)55.1Neutral
CCI(20)165.5Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)-0.170above signal
SMA 2082.17close above
SMA 5083.63close above
SMA 20082.86close above
Pivot PP84.07close above PP
Pivot R184.75classic resistance
Pivot S183.73classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLP are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 84.41 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLP?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLP printed open 83.58, high 84.41, low 83.39, close 84.41, volume 7,324,100. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 84.07, R1 84.75, R2 85.09, R3 85.77, S1 83.73, S2 83.05, S3 82.71. SMA 20 is 82.17; SMA 50 is 83.64; SMA 200 is 82.86. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLP?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB lower band bounce has Win 81.2% · n=16. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on XLP (500 daily bars, 334 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLP overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 61.3. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.