xlk / XLK — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLK

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLK, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 305 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 61.5% · n=13HIST61.5%61.5%n=1380.0%13
CCI cross -100LONGWin 58.3% · n=24HIST50.0%58.3%n=2472.7%24
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 53.8% · n=13HIST53.8%53.8%n=1375.0%13
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 61.5% · n=26HIST57.7%61.5%n=2673.9%26
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 53.8% · n=26HIST40.7%53.8%n=2662.5%26
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 38.5% · n=13STUDY57.1%38.5%n=1330.8%13
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 36.4% · n=22STUDY43.5%36.4%n=2228.6%22
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 33.3% · n=33STUDY35.3%33.3%n=3329.0%33
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 30.8% · n=26STUDY33.3%30.8%n=2636.0%26
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=32STUDY39.4%25.0%n=3230.0%32
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 15.4% · n=13STUDY15.4%15.4%n=137.7%13
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY66.7%100.0%n=3100.0%3
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
MFI cross 20LONGWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY100.0%66.7%n=680.0%6
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 55.6% · n=9STUDY55.6%55.6%n=937.5%9
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 66.7% · n=9STUDY33.3%66.7%n=944.4%9
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY75.0%33.3%n=333.3%3
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY25.0%25.0%n=425.0%4
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 12.5% · n=8STUDY25.0%12.5%n=833.3%8
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 0.0% · n=6STUDY16.7%0.0%n=60.0%6

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLK. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLK from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
198.07
High
198.18
Low
195.82
Close
196.36
Volume
5,200,700

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
196.79
R1
197.75
R2
199.15
R3
200.11
S1
195.39
S2
194.43
S3
193.03

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
195.08
SMA 50
189.32
SMA 200
166.29

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 55.3. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)55.3Neutral
Stochastic %K49.6Neutral
Williams %R-64.8Neutral
MFI(14)60.0Neutral
CCI(20)31.2Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)3.245below signal
SMA 20195.08close above
SMA 50189.32close above
SMA 200166.29close above
Pivot PP196.79close below PP
Pivot R1197.75classic resistance
Pivot S1195.39classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLK are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 196.36 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLK?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLK printed open 198.07, high 198.18, low 195.82, close 196.36, volume 5,200,700. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 196.79, R1 197.75, R2 199.15, R3 200.11, S1 195.39, S2 194.43, S3 193.03. SMA 20 is 195.08; SMA 50 is 189.32; SMA 200 is 166.29. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLK?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 61.5% · n=13. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on XLK (500 daily bars, 305 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLK overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 55.3. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.