xli / XLI — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLI

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLI, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 315 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 64.3% · n=14HIST43.8%64.3%n=1481.8%14
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 52.0% · n=25HIST48.1%52.0%n=2580.0%25
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 54.5% · n=11HIST36.4%54.5%n=1177.8%11
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 55.6% · n=18HIST52.6%55.6%n=1870.6%18
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 46.2% · n=13STUDY38.5%46.2%n=1390.9%13
CCI cross -100LONGWin 47.4% · n=19STUDY38.1%47.4%n=1971.4%19
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 40.0% · n=20STUDY30.0%40.0%n=2042.1%20
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 40.5% · n=37STUDY48.6%40.5%n=3734.3%37
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 32.3% · n=31STUDY45.2%32.3%n=3134.5%31
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 45.5% · n=11STUDY27.3%45.5%n=1127.3%11
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 42.2% · n=45STUDY33.3%42.2%n=4528.6%45
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 41.7% · n=12STUDY50.0%41.7%n=1222.2%12
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 21.1% · n=19STUDY42.1%21.1%n=1927.8%19
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%100.0%n=4100.0%4
MFI cross 20LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY50.0%66.7%n=3100.0%3
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY40.0%60.0%n=575.0%5
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%75.0%n=450.0%4
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY100.0%66.7%n=333.3%3
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=6STUDY33.3%0.0%n=60.0%6
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%0.0%n=20.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLI. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLI from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
169.02
High
170.06
Low
168.83
Close
169.15
Volume
3,802,400

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
169.35
R1
169.86
R2
170.58
R3
171.09
S1
168.63
S2
168.12
S3
167.40

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
169.20
SMA 50
175.18
SMA 200
171.94

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 44.5. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)44.5Neutral
Stochastic %K44.7Neutral
Williams %R-51.8Neutral
MFI(14)51.8Neutral
CCI(20)11.8Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)-1.378above signal
SMA 20169.20close below
SMA 50175.18close below
SMA 200171.94close below
Pivot PP169.35close below PP
Pivot R1169.86classic resistance
Pivot S1168.63classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLI are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 169.15 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLI?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLI printed open 169.02, high 170.06, low 168.83, close 169.15, volume 3,802,400. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 169.35, R1 169.86, R2 170.58, R3 171.09, S1 168.63, S2 168.12, S3 167.40. SMA 20 is 169.20; SMA 50 is 175.18; SMA 200 is 171.94. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLI?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 64.3% · n=14. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on XLI (500 daily bars, 315 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLI overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 44.5. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.