xle / XLE — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLE

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLE, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 312 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 92.9% · n=14HIST68.8%92.9%n=14100.0%14
CCI cross -100LONGWin 80.0% · n=10HIST75.0%80.0%n=1080.0%10
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 83.3% · n=24HIST73.1%83.3%n=2481.8%24
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 70.0% · n=10HIST40.0%70.0%n=1070.0%10
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 60.9% · n=23HIST60.9%60.9%n=2370.0%23
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 60.0% · n=20HIST55.0%60.0%n=2047.1%20
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 46.7% · n=15STUDY73.3%46.7%n=1566.7%15
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 43.8% · n=32STUDY61.8%43.8%n=3232.1%32
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 46.2% · n=13STUDY30.8%46.2%n=1336.4%13
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 41.4% · n=29STUDY51.6%41.4%n=2926.9%29
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 39.0% · n=41STUDY47.6%39.0%n=4125.0%41
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=15STUDY31.2%33.3%n=1526.7%15
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 33.3% · n=24STUDY33.3%33.3%n=2420.0%24
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%100.0%n=2100.0%2
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%75.0%n=4100.0%4
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY66.7%100.0%n=366.7%3
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 80.0% · n=5STUDY20.0%80.0%n=575.0%5
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY62.5%62.5%n=842.9%8
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%0.0%n=1100.0%1
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=20.0%2
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%0.0%n=10.0%1

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLE. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLE from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
65.85
High
66.42
Low
65.67
Close
66.01
Volume
19,855,300

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
66.03
R1
66.40
R2
66.78
R3
67.15
S1
65.65
S2
65.28
S3
64.90

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
63.30
SMA 50
62.55
SMA 200
56.52

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (4 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 66.4. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)66.4Neutral
Stochastic %K90.5Overbought
Williams %R-7.5Overbought
MFI(14)85.3Overbought
CCI(20)168.0Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)0.609above signal
SMA 2063.30close above
SMA 5062.55close above
SMA 20056.52close above
Pivot PP66.03close below PP
Pivot R166.40classic resistance
Pivot S165.65classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLE are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 66.01 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLE?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLE printed open 65.85, high 66.42, low 65.67, close 66.01, volume 19,855,300. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 66.03, R1 66.40, R2 66.78, R3 67.15, S1 65.65, S2 65.28, S3 64.90. SMA 20 is 63.30; SMA 50 is 62.55; SMA 200 is 56.52. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLE?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 92.9% · n=14. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on XLE (500 daily bars, 312 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLE overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (4 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 66.4. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.