xlc / What works on XLC

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLC, measured on daily bars (2024-08-29 โ†’ 2026-08-28, 501 bars, 301 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

What works on XLC

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY100.0%100.0%100.0%1
MFI cross 20BUY100.0%100.0%100.0%2
RSI(14) cross 30BUY80.0%80.0%75.0%5
SMA 50/200 death crossSELL100.0%100.0%โ€”1
CCI cross -100BUY72.2%70.6%71.4%18
MACD bullish crossBUY63.2%61.1%70.6%19
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY52.6%73.7%62.5%19
Williams %R cross -80BUY53.1%58.1%70.4%32
BB lower band bounceBUY58.3%58.3%66.7%12
Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL33.3%66.7%50.0%3
BB upper band rejectSELL46.7%53.3%53.3%15
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY0.0%0.0%100.0%2
EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY50.0%54.5%40.0%12
Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY25.0%50.0%50.0%4
MFI cross 80SELL33.3%44.4%44.4%9
CCI cross 100SELL38.5%32.0%47.8%27
MACD bearish crossSELL55.6%33.3%35.3%18
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL42.9%30.3%37.5%35
EMA 9/21 death crossSELL45.5%36.4%30.0%11
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL66.7%66.7%0.0%3
Williams %R cross -20SELL48.6%34.3%30.3%38
RSI(14) cross 70SELL40.0%40.0%26.7%15

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLC. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: SMA 50/200 golden cross ยท MFI cross 20 ยท RSI(14) cross 30.

Why it moved

TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.

Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.

Honest caveats

  • Past โ‰  future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.