xlb / XLB — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on XLB

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on XLB, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 311 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 69.2% · n=13HIST52.9%69.2%n=1369.2%13
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 61.5% · n=13HIST46.2%61.5%n=1358.3%13
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 60.7% · n=28HIST54.8%60.7%n=2854.2%28
CCI cross -100LONGWin 54.5% · n=22HIST40.0%54.5%n=2265.0%22
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 54.5% · n=11HIST63.6%54.5%n=1150.0%11
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 56.2% · n=16HIST43.8%56.2%n=1657.1%16
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=28HIST53.6%50.0%n=2853.8%28
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 70.0% · n=10HIST20.0%70.0%n=1044.4%10
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=24HIST45.8%50.0%n=2450.0%24
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 39.1% · n=23STUDY34.8%39.1%n=2357.1%23
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 46.5% · n=43STUDY39.5%46.5%n=4348.7%43
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 42.3% · n=26STUDY50.0%42.3%n=2639.1%26
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY100.0%100.0%n=366.7%3
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=5STUDY66.7%100.0%n=540.0%5
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 66.7% · n=6STUDY83.3%66.7%n=633.3%6
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=10.0%1
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%50.0%n=450.0%4
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%50.0%n=425.0%4
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 44.4% · n=9STUDY0.0%44.4%n=944.4%9
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%0.0%n=250.0%2
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=8STUDY50.0%25.0%n=814.3%8

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=XLB. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for XLB from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
49.24
High
49.76
Low
49.16
Close
49.44
Volume
5,798,000

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
49.45
R1
49.75
R2
50.05
R3
50.35
S1
49.15
S2
48.85
S3
48.55

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
49.59
SMA 50
51.15
SMA 200
50.38

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 44.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)44.1Neutral
Stochastic %K56.2Neutral
Williams %R-40.3Neutral
MFI(14)31.4Neutral
CCI(20)-19.9Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)-0.521above signal
SMA 2049.59close below
SMA 5051.15close below
SMA 20050.38close below
Pivot PP49.45close below PP
Pivot R149.75classic resistance
Pivot S149.15classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for XLB are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 49.44 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on XLB?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), XLB printed open 49.24, high 49.76, low 49.16, close 49.44, volume 5,798,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 49.45, R1 49.75, R2 50.05, R3 50.35, S1 49.15, S2 48.85, S3 48.55. SMA 20 is 49.59; SMA 50 is 51.15; SMA 200 is 50.38. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on XLB?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 69.2% · n=13. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on XLB (500 daily bars, 311 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is XLB overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 44.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.