vti / VTI — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on VTI

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on VTI, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 340 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 78.6% · n=28HIST51.7%78.6%n=2877.3%28
CCI cross -100LONGWin 75.0% · n=20HIST42.9%75.0%n=2082.4%20
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 66.7% · n=24HIST42.3%66.7%n=2482.6%24
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 64.7% · n=17HIST38.9%64.7%n=1781.2%17
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 68.8% · n=16HIST47.1%68.8%n=1666.7%16
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 27.0% · n=37STUDY55.3%27.0%n=3723.5%37
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 38.6% · n=44STUDY37.0%38.6%n=4421.4%44
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 31.2% · n=32STUDY36.4%31.2%n=3222.6%32
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 30.0% · n=10STUDY18.2%30.0%n=1025.0%10
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 24.0% · n=25STUDY42.3%24.0%n=2521.7%25
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 16.7% · n=12STUDY41.7%16.7%n=129.1%12
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 12.5% · n=16STUDY31.2%12.5%n=1612.5%16
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY75.0%75.0%n=4100.0%4
MFI cross 20LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 66.7% · n=9STUDY63.6%66.7%n=987.5%9
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY100.0%66.7%n=366.7%3
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY33.3%33.3%n=366.7%3
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 28.6% · n=7STUDY57.1%28.6%n=725.0%7
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 14.3% · n=7STUDY0.0%14.3%n=714.3%7
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=3STUDY0.0%0.0%n=30.0%3

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=VTI. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for VTI from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
382.14
High
382.30
Low
381.09
Close
381.57
Volume
1,949,400

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
381.65
R1
382.22
R2
382.86
R3
383.43
S1
381.01
S2
380.44
S3
379.80

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
377.53
SMA 50
377.74
SMA 200
354.97

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 57.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)57.8Neutral
Stochastic %K74.9Neutral
Williams %R-20.2Neutral
MFI(14)37.4Neutral
CCI(20)99.6Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)1.452above signal
SMA 20377.53close above
SMA 50377.74close above
SMA 200354.97close above
Pivot PP381.65close below PP
Pivot R1382.22classic resistance
Pivot S1381.01classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for VTI are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 381.57 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on VTI?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), VTI printed open 382.14, high 382.30, low 381.09, close 381.57, volume 1,949,400. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 381.65, R1 382.22, R2 382.86, R3 383.43, S1 381.01, S2 380.44, S3 379.80. SMA 20 is 377.53; SMA 50 is 377.74; SMA 200 is 354.97. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on VTI?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 78.6% · n=28. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on VTI (500 daily bars, 340 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is VTI overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 57.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.