tsm / TSM — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on TSM

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on TSM, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 348 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 80.0% · n=15HIST46.7%80.0%n=15100.0%15
CCI cross -100LONGWin 76.2% · n=21HIST38.1%76.2%n=2194.7%21
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 75.0% · n=12HIST25.0%75.0%n=12100.0%12
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 72.4% · n=29HIST43.3%72.4%n=2992.3%29
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 71.4% · n=14HIST42.9%71.4%n=1472.7%14
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 52.0% · n=25HIST50.0%52.0%n=2577.3%25
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 36.8% · n=38STUDY30.8%36.8%n=3820.0%38
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 33.3% · n=21STUDY54.5%33.3%n=2115.0%21
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 28.6% · n=14STUDY35.7%28.6%n=1425.0%14
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 27.9% · n=43STUDY34.9%27.9%n=4320.0%43
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 32.0% · n=25STUDY38.5%32.0%n=2513.0%25
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 15.2% · n=33STUDY40.0%15.2%n=3322.6%33
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 25.0% · n=16STUDY25.0%25.0%n=160.0%16
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY66.7%100.0%n=3100.0%3
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY33.3%66.7%n=3100.0%3
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%0.0%n=1100.0%1
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 42.9% · n=7STUDY28.6%42.9%n=766.7%7
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY40.0%40.0%n=50.0%5
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%0.0%n=20.0%2
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 16.7% · n=6STUDY16.7%16.7%n=60.0%6

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=TSM. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for TSM from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
453.55
High
454.40
Low
444.35
Close
444.35
Volume
8,831,400

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
447.70
R1
451.05
R2
457.75
R3
461.10
S1
441.00
S2
437.65
S3
430.95

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
451.74
SMA 50
432.58
SMA 200
390.82

This name is in the stored session 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 1 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 47.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)47.8Neutral
Stochastic %K25.5Neutral
Williams %R-92.0Oversold
MFI(14)56.3Neutral
CCI(20)-17.6Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)8.983below signal
SMA 20451.74close below
SMA 50432.58close above
SMA 200390.82close above
Pivot PP447.70close below PP
Pivot R1451.05classic resistance
Pivot S1441.00classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for TSM are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 444.35 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on TSM?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), TSM printed open 453.55, high 454.40, low 444.35, close 444.35, volume 8,831,400. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 447.70, R1 451.05, R2 457.75, R3 461.10, S1 441.00, S2 437.65, S3 430.95. SMA 20 is 451.74; SMA 50 is 432.58; SMA 200 is 390.82. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on TSM?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 80.0% · n=15. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on TSM (500 daily bars, 348 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is TSM overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 1 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 47.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.