smci / SMCI — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on SMCI
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on SMCI, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 307 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 62.5% · n=16HIST | 75.0% | 62.5%n=16 | 73.3% | 16 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 69.6% · n=23HIST | 54.2% | 69.6%n=23 | 59.1% | 23 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 66.7% · n=18HIST | 38.9% | 66.7%n=18 | 58.8% | 18 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 59.3% · n=27HIST | 53.6% | 59.3%n=27 | 53.8% | 27 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 59.1% · n=22HIST | 29.2% | 59.1%n=22 | 55.0% | 22 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 66.7% · n=12HIST | 25.0% | 66.7%n=12 | 41.7% | 12 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 54.5% · n=22HIST | 39.1% | 54.5%n=22 | 30.0% | 22 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 48.0% · n=25STUDY | 34.6% | 48.0%n=25 | 45.8% | 25 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 45.7% · n=35STUDY | 50.0% | 45.7%n=35 | 46.7% | 35 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 42.3% · n=26STUDY | 46.4% | 42.3%n=26 | 42.9% | 26 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 46.2% · n=13STUDY | 30.8% | 46.2%n=13 | 50.0% | 13 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 80.0% · n=5STUDY | 100.0% | 80.0%n=5 | 60.0% | 5 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 75.0% · n=8STUDY | 87.5% | 75.0%n=8 | 71.4% | 8 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY | 50.0% | 75.0%n=4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY | 50.0% | 75.0%n=4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 75.0% · n=8STUDY | 37.5% | 75.0%n=8 | 50.0% | 8 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 87.5% · n=8STUDY | 33.3% | 87.5%n=8 | 37.5% | 8 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 0.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=5STUDY | 60.0% | 100.0%n=5 | 20.0% | 5 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY | 66.7% | 66.7%n=3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 50.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY | 25.0% | 25.0%n=4 | 0.0% | 4 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=SMCI. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for SMCI from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 41.29
- High
- 41.38
- Low
- 39.24
- Close
- 39.98
- Volume
- 25,413,800
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 40.20
- R1
- 41.16
- R2
- 42.34
- R3
- 43.30
- S1
- 39.02
- S2
- 38.06
- S3
- 36.88
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 41.33
- SMA 50
- 38.24
- SMA 200
- 32.37
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 1 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 48.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 31.5 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -88.7 | Oversold |
| MFI(14) | 44.5 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | -48.8 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 1.254 | below signal |
| SMA 20 | 41.33 | close below |
| SMA 50 | 38.24 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 32.37 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 40.20 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 41.16 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 39.02 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for SMCI are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 39.98 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on SMCI?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), SMCI printed open 41.29, high 41.38, low 39.24, close 39.98, volume 25,413,800. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 40.20, R1 41.16, R2 42.34, R3 43.30, S1 39.02, S2 38.06, S3 36.88. SMA 20 is 41.33; SMA 50 is 38.24; SMA 200 is 32.37. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on SMCI?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB upper band reject has Win 62.5% · n=16. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on SMCI (500 daily bars, 307 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is SMCI overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 1 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 48.1. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.