ndx / NDX — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Daily bars for NDX are loaded via Yahoo alias ^NDX; the symbol on the page stays NDX.
Historical hit rates on NDX
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on NDX, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 316 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 78.1% · n=32HIST | 54.5% | 78.1%n=32 | 82.1% | 32 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 64.3% · n=14HIST | 42.9% | 64.3%n=14 | 100.0% | 14 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 72.2% · n=18HIST | 52.6% | 72.2%n=18 | 80.0% | 18 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 57.1% · n=14HIST | 53.3% | 57.1%n=14 | 83.3% | 14 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 60.0% · n=20HIST | 52.4% | 60.0%n=20 | 57.9% | 20 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 63.6% · n=11HIST | 41.7% | 63.6%n=11 | 55.6% | 11 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 36.4% · n=11STUDY | 33.3% | 36.4%n=11 | 40.0% | 11 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 38.5% · n=39STUDY | 27.5% | 38.5%n=39 | 29.7% | 39 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 32.4% · n=37STUDY | 42.1% | 32.4%n=37 | 27.8% | 37 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 23.8% · n=21STUDY | 28.6% | 23.8%n=21 | 35.0% | 21 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 32.0% · n=25STUDY | 26.9% | 32.0%n=25 | 29.2% | 25 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 27.3% · n=11STUDY | 41.7% | 27.3%n=11 | 18.2% | 11 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 20.0% · n=15STUDY | 33.3% | 20.0%n=15 | 6.7% | 15 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY | 80.0% | 60.0%n=5 | 100.0% | 5 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 100.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 100.0% | 2 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY | 50.0% | 40.0%n=5 | 80.0% | 5 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 33.3% | 33.3%n=3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY | 25.0% | 25.0%n=4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 12.5% · n=8STUDY | 37.5% | 12.5%n=8 | 14.3% | 8 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=6STUDY | 66.7% | 0.0%n=6 | 0.0% | 6 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=NDX. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for NDX from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 30,796.04
- High
- 30,813.96
- Low
- 30,618.64
- Close
- 30,664.70
- Volume
- 6,285,170,000
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 30,699.10
- R1
- 30,779.56
- R2
- 30,894.42
- R3
- 30,974.88
- S1
- 30,584.24
- S2
- 30,503.78
- S3
- 30,388.92
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 30,390.74
- SMA 50
- 29,822.55
- SMA 200
- 27,651.21
Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 56.5. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 56.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -54.4 | Neutral |
| MFI(14) | 50.3 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 45.2 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 365.838 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 30390.74 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 29822.55 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 27651.21 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 30699.10 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 30779.56 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 30584.24 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for NDX are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 30664.70 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on NDX?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), NDX printed open 30,796.04, high 30,813.96, low 30,618.64, close 30,664.70, volume 6,285,170,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 30,699.10, R1 30,779.56, R2 30,894.42, R3 30,974.88, S1 30,584.24, S2 30,503.78, S3 30,388.92. SMA 20 is 30,390.74; SMA 50 is 29,822.55; SMA 200 is 27,651.21. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on NDX?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 78.1% · n=32. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on NDX (500 daily bars, 316 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is NDX overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 56.5. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.