mstr / MSTR — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on MSTR
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MSTR, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 294 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 63.6% · n=22HIST | 43.5% | 63.6%n=22 | 88.9% | 22 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 55.6% · n=18HIST | 57.9% | 55.6%n=18 | 80.0% | 18 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 57.7% · n=26HIST | 40.7% | 57.7%n=26 | 72.7% | 26 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 53.8% · n=13HIST | 85.7% | 53.8%n=13 | 53.8% | 13 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 50.0% · n=14HIST | 53.3% | 50.0%n=14 | 66.7% | 14 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 69.2% · n=13HIST | 46.7% | 69.2%n=13 | 53.8% | 13 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 63.6% · n=11HIST | 54.5% | 63.6%n=11 | 30.0% | 11 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 52.9% · n=17HIST | 52.9% | 52.9%n=17 | 41.2% | 17 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 45.5% · n=11STUDY | 54.5% | 45.5%n=11 | 63.6% | 11 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 37.0% · n=27STUDY | 51.9% | 37.0%n=27 | 32.0% | 27 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 39.0% · n=41STUDY | 41.5% | 39.0%n=41 | 30.0% | 41 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 37.5% · n=24STUDY | 41.7% | 37.5%n=24 | 25.0% | 24 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY | 75.0% | 62.5%n=8 | 75.0% | 8 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY | 44.4% | 50.0%n=8 | 83.3% | 8 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY | 25.0% | 75.0%n=4 | 75.0% | 4 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 28.6% · n=7STUDY | 28.6% | 28.6%n=7 | 57.1% | 7 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 12.5% · n=8STUDY | 62.5% | 12.5%n=8 | 50.0% | 8 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 0.0% | 33.3%n=3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY | 40.0% | 20.0%n=5 | 0.0% | 5 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 0.0%n=1 | 0.0% | 1 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=1 | 0.0% | 1 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MSTR. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for MSTR from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 153.40
- High
- 158.40
- Low
- 150.84
- Close
- 152.68
- Volume
- 12,925,900
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 153.97
- R1
- 157.11
- R2
- 161.53
- R3
- 164.67
- S1
- 149.55
- S2
- 146.41
- S3
- 141.99
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 154.32
- SMA 50
- 131.01
- SMA 200
- 135.83
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 53.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 53.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 23.3 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -76.7 | Neutral |
| MFI(14) | 37.9 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | -4.4 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 6.560 | below signal |
| SMA 20 | 154.32 | close below |
| SMA 50 | 131.01 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 135.83 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 153.97 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 157.11 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 149.55 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for MSTR are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 152.68 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on MSTR?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), MSTR printed open 153.40, high 158.40, low 150.84, close 152.68, volume 12,925,900. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 153.97, R1 157.11, R2 161.53, R3 164.67, S1 149.55, S2 146.41, S3 141.99. SMA 20 is 154.32; SMA 50 is 131.01; SMA 200 is 135.83. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on MSTR?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, CCI cross 100 has Win 63.6% · n=22. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on MSTR (500 daily bars, 294 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is MSTR overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 53.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.