meli / MELI — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on MELI
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MELI, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 328 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 75.0% · n=12HIST | 69.2% | 75.0%n=12 | 41.7% | 12 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 57.1% · n=14HIST | 50.0% | 57.1%n=14 | 54.5% | 14 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 50.0% · n=38HIST | 65.8% | 50.0%n=38 | 55.2% | 38 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 55.6% · n=27HIST | 59.3% | 55.6%n=27 | 50.0% | 27 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 53.8% · n=13HIST | 50.0% | 53.8%n=13 | 58.3% | 13 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 53.6% · n=28HIST | 57.1% | 53.6%n=28 | 43.5% | 28 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 48.0% · n=25STUDY | 52.0% | 48.0%n=25 | 54.5% | 25 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 45.8% · n=24STUDY | 50.0% | 45.8%n=24 | 40.9% | 24 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 44.0% · n=25STUDY | 57.1% | 44.0%n=25 | 36.0% | 25 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 37.8% · n=37STUDY | 60.5% | 37.8%n=37 | 40.0% | 37 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 34.8% · n=23STUDY | 66.7% | 34.8%n=23 | 40.9% | 23 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 30.8% · n=13STUDY | 61.5% | 30.8%n=13 | 41.7% | 13 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY | 60.0% | 60.0%n=5 | 80.0% | 5 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY | 50.0% | 100.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 83.3% · n=6STUDY | 50.0% | 83.3%n=6 | 40.0% | 6 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 66.7% | 33.3%n=3 | 66.7% | 3 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 50.0% · n=6STUDY | 66.7% | 50.0%n=6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 50.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY | 40.0% | 40.0%n=5 | 40.0% | 5 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 42.9% · n=7STUDY | 14.3% | 42.9%n=7 | 16.7% | 7 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY | 0.0% | 50.0%n=2 | 0.0% | 2 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MELI. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for MELI from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 1,899.13
- High
- 1,924.60
- Low
- 1,890.00
- Close
- 1,892.44
- Volume
- 411,700
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 1,902.35
- R1
- 1,914.69
- R2
- 1,936.95
- R3
- 1,949.29
- S1
- 1,880.09
- S2
- 1,867.75
- S3
- 1,845.49
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 1,800.61
- SMA 50
- 1,862.65
- SMA 200
- 1,834.76
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 57.9. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 57.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 91.1 | Overbought |
| Williams %R | -12.6 | Overbought |
| MFI(14) | 47.6 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 125.6 | Overbought |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 0.090 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 1800.61 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 1862.65 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 1834.76 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 1902.35 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 1914.69 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 1880.09 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for MELI are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 1892.44 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on MELI?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), MELI printed open 1,899.13, high 1,924.60, low 1,890.00, close 1,892.44, volume 411,700. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 1,902.35, R1 1,914.69, R2 1,936.95, R3 1,949.29, S1 1,880.09, S2 1,867.75, S3 1,845.49. SMA 20 is 1,800.61; SMA 50 is 1,862.65; SMA 200 is 1,834.76. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on MELI?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB lower band bounce has Win 75.0% · n=12. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on MELI (500 daily bars, 328 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is MELI overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 57.9. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.