mdb / What works on MDB

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MDB, measured on daily bars (2024-08-29 โ†’ 2026-08-28, 501 bars, 288 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

What works on MDB

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL75.0%75.0%75.0%4
SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY50.0%50.0%100.0%2
RSI(14) cross 70SELL53.8%66.7%63.6%13
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY0.0%66.7%66.7%3
Williams %R cross -20SELL59.4%51.6%51.7%32
EMA 9/21 death crossSELL30.0%40.0%75.0%10
Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL50.0%50.0%50.0%2
CCI cross 100SELL53.3%51.7%48.1%30
EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY63.6%60.0%55.6%11
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL54.2%54.5%50.0%24
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY52.4%52.4%52.6%21
Williams %R cross -80BUY56.0%48.0%54.5%25
MACD bullish crossBUY47.1%50.0%60.0%17
CCI cross -100BUY57.1%47.6%47.4%21
RSI(14) cross 30BUY37.5%25.0%62.5%8
MACD bearish crossSELL43.8%43.8%42.9%17
Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY75.0%25.0%50.0%4
BB upper band rejectSELL35.0%52.9%37.5%20
MFI cross 80SELL60.0%75.0%25.0%5
MFI cross 20BUY57.1%57.1%20.0%7
BB lower band bounceBUY30.0%30.0%30.0%10
SMA 50/200 death crossSELL50.0%0.0%0.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MDB. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong) ยท SMA 50/200 golden cross ยท RSI(14) cross 70.

Why it moved

TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.

Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.

Honest caveats

  • Past โ‰  future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.