lly / What works on LLY
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on LLY, measured on daily bars (2024-08-27 → 2026-08-27, 502 bars, 316 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
What works on LLY
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSELL | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY | 40.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% | 5 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY | 68.2% | 61.9% | 76.2% | 22 |
| MFI cross 80SELL | 70.0% | 60.0% | 77.8% | 10 |
| BB lower band bounceBUY | 56.2% | 56.2% | 68.8% | 16 |
| RSI(14) cross 30BUY | 57.1% | 42.9% | 71.4% | 7 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSELL | 58.3% | 81.8% | 54.5% | 12 |
| Williams %R cross -20SELL | 56.2% | 60.0% | 69.6% | 32 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SELL | 63.6% | 45.5% | 71.4% | 11 |
| MACD bullish crossBUY | 50.0% | 47.4% | 66.7% | 20 |
| Williams %R cross -80BUY | 54.3% | 52.9% | 57.6% | 35 |
| MFI cross 20BUY | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2 |
| MACD bearish crossSELL | 65.0% | 55.0% | 55.6% | 21 |
| CCI cross -100BUY | 53.8% | 36.0% | 60.0% | 26 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL | 20.0% | 20.0% | 75.0% | 5 |
| CCI cross 100SELL | 52.2% | 50.0% | 57.9% | 24 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY | 41.7% | 54.5% | 45.5% | 12 |
| BB upper band rejectSELL | 60.0% | 55.6% | 42.9% | 10 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL | 48.3% | 42.9% | 44.0% | 30 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY | 66.7% | 50.0% | 20.0% | 6 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL | 37.5% | 42.9% | 28.6% | 8 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=LLY. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: SMA 50/200 golden cross · SMA 50/200 death cross · Squeeze fire (bullish).
Why it moved
TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.
Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.