ivv / IVV — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on IVV

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on IVV, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 334 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
CCI cross -100LONGWin 75.0% · n=20HIST47.6%75.0%n=2082.4%20
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 80.0% · n=10HIST54.5%80.0%n=1066.7%10
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 64.7% · n=17HIST44.4%64.7%n=1787.5%17
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 73.3% · n=30HIST51.6%73.3%n=3075.0%30
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 66.7% · n=21HIST52.2%66.7%n=2175.0%21
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 69.2% · n=13HIST57.1%69.2%n=1363.6%13
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 34.0% · n=47STUDY42.9%34.0%n=4725.0%47
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 27.8% · n=36STUDY56.8%27.8%n=3624.2%36
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 36.4% · n=22STUDY34.8%36.4%n=2225.0%22
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 27.3% · n=11STUDY18.2%27.3%n=1133.3%11
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 22.6% · n=31STUDY37.5%22.6%n=3120.7%31
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 16.7% · n=12STUDY41.7%16.7%n=129.1%12
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 18.8% · n=16STUDY31.2%18.8%n=166.2%16
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 75.0% · n=4STUDY75.0%75.0%n=4100.0%4
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY80.0%60.0%n=5100.0%5
MFI cross 20LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 28.6% · n=7STUDY14.3%28.6%n=750.0%7
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY25.0%25.0%n=425.0%4
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=4STUDY0.0%0.0%n=425.0%4
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=5STUDY83.3%0.0%n=50.0%5

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=IVV. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for IVV from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
782.17
High
782.82
Low
780.50
Close
781.44
Volume
3,209,000

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
781.59
R1
782.67
R2
783.91
R3
784.99
S1
780.35
S2
779.27
S3
778.03

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
771.93
SMA 50
770.28
SMA 200
723.11

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)59.8Neutral
Stochastic %K79.0Neutral
Williams %R-15.7Overbought
MFI(14)49.9Neutral
CCI(20)106.9Overbought
MACD (12/26/9)3.893above signal
SMA 20771.93close above
SMA 50770.28close above
SMA 200723.11close above
Pivot PP781.59close below PP
Pivot R1782.67classic resistance
Pivot S1780.35classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for IVV are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 781.44 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on IVV?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), IVV printed open 782.17, high 782.82, low 780.50, close 781.44, volume 3,209,000. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 781.59, R1 782.67, R2 783.91, R3 784.99, S1 780.35, S2 779.27, S3 778.03. SMA 20 is 771.93; SMA 50 is 770.28; SMA 200 is 723.11. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on IVV?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, CCI cross -100 has Win 75.0% · n=20. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on IVV (500 daily bars, 334 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is IVV overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (2 overbought, 0 oversold, 3 neutral). RSI(14) is 59.8. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.