ibm / IBM — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on IBM
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on IBM, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 318 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 52.6% · n=19HIST | 70.0% | 52.6%n=19 | 70.6% | 19 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 60.0% · n=15HIST | 62.5% | 60.0%n=15 | 66.7% | 15 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 52.0% · n=25HIST | 53.8% | 52.0%n=25 | 65.2% | 25 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 54.8% · n=31HIST | 53.1% | 54.8%n=31 | 65.5% | 31 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 54.5% · n=22HIST | 50.0% | 54.5%n=22 | 65.0% | 22 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 50.0% · n=36HIST | 51.4% | 50.0%n=36 | 51.5% | 36 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 46.7% · n=15STUDY | 56.2% | 46.7%n=15 | 66.7% | 15 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 46.2% · n=26STUDY | 59.3% | 46.2%n=26 | 64.0% | 26 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 33.3% · n=15STUDY | 50.0% | 33.3%n=15 | 60.0% | 15 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 46.7% · n=15STUDY | 40.0% | 46.7%n=15 | 42.9% | 15 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 28.6% · n=14STUDY | 50.0% | 28.6%n=14 | 50.0% | 14 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 40.0% · n=15STUDY | 46.7% | 40.0%n=15 | 36.4% | 15 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=4STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=4 | 100.0% | 4 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 87.5% · n=8STUDY | 62.5% | 87.5%n=8 | 100.0% | 8 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY | 80.0% | 60.0%n=5 | 60.0% | 5 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY | 50.0% | 50.0%n=8 | 57.1% | 8 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY | 28.6% | 57.1%n=7 | 57.1% | 7 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 0.0% | 1 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 22.2% · n=9STUDY | 33.3% | 22.2%n=9 | 33.3% | 9 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY | 20.0% | 40.0%n=5 | 20.0% | 5 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 16.7% · n=6STUDY | 25.0% | 16.7%n=6 | 33.3% | 6 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=IBM. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for IBM from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 228.31
- High
- 229.29
- Low
- 224.77
- Close
- 227.02
- Volume
- 2,763,600
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 227.03
- R1
- 229.28
- R2
- 231.55
- R3
- 233.80
- S1
- 224.76
- S2
- 222.51
- S3
- 220.24
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 227.74
- SMA 50
- 231.99
- SMA 200
- 250.58
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 48.2. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 48.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 45.5 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -54.0 | Neutral |
| MFI(14) | 45.3 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | -16.0 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | -2.689 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 227.74 | close below |
| SMA 50 | 231.99 | close below |
| SMA 200 | 250.58 | close below |
| Pivot PP | 227.03 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 229.28 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 224.76 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for IBM are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 227.02 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on IBM?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), IBM printed open 228.31, high 229.29, low 224.77, close 227.02, volume 2,763,600. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 227.03, R1 229.28, R2 231.55, R3 233.80, S1 224.76, S2 222.51, S3 220.24. SMA 20 is 227.74; SMA 50 is 231.99; SMA 200 is 250.58. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on IBM?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, CCI cross 100 has Win 52.6% · n=19. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on IBM (500 daily bars, 318 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is IBM overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 48.2. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.