gld / GLD — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on GLD

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on GLD, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 298 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 60.0% · n=10HIST50.0%60.0%n=1088.9%10
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 58.3% · n=12HIST69.2%58.3%n=1275.0%12
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 54.3% · n=35HIST48.7%54.3%n=3574.2%35
CCI cross -100LONGWin 56.2% · n=16HIST47.1%56.2%n=1666.7%16
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 47.1% · n=17STUDY47.1%47.1%n=1782.4%17
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 44.4% · n=18STUDY65.0%44.4%n=1881.2%18
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 47.1% · n=17STUDY35.3%47.1%n=1731.2%17
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 39.3% · n=28STUDY39.3%39.3%n=2816.0%28
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 41.9% · n=31STUDY32.3%41.9%n=3117.9%31
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=30STUDY40.0%33.3%n=3017.9%30
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 30.0% · n=10STUDY30.0%30.0%n=1022.2%10
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 33.3% · n=12STUDY41.7%33.3%n=1210.0%12
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 36.8% · n=19STUDY42.1%36.8%n=195.6%19
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 38.5% · n=13STUDY23.1%38.5%n=138.3%13
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY80.0%40.0%n=580.0%5
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY66.7%33.3%n=350.0%3
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY25.0%50.0%n=433.3%4
MFI cross 20LONGWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%0.0%n=250.0%2
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY0.0%0.0%n=10.0%1

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=GLD. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for GLD from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
382.61
High
382.74
Low
381.16
Close
382.15
Volume
4,854,300

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
382.02
R1
382.87
R2
383.60
R3
384.45
S1
381.29
S2
380.44
S3
379.71

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
387.47
SMA 50
397.24
SMA 200
415.50

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 43.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)43.9Neutral
Stochastic %K30.9Neutral
Williams %R-62.8Neutral
MFI(14)43.0Neutral
CCI(20)-49.0Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)-5.025below signal
SMA 20387.47close below
SMA 50397.24close below
SMA 200415.50close below
Pivot PP382.02close above PP
Pivot R1382.87classic resistance
Pivot S1381.29classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for GLD are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 382.15 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on GLD?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), GLD printed open 382.61, high 382.74, low 381.16, close 382.15, volume 4,854,300. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 382.02, R1 382.87, R2 383.60, R3 384.45, S1 381.29, S2 380.44, S3 379.71. SMA 20 is 387.47; SMA 50 is 397.24; SMA 200 is 415.50. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on GLD?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, EMA 9/21 golden cross has Win 60.0% · n=10. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on GLD (500 daily bars, 298 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is GLD overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 43.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.