efa / What works on EFA
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on EFA, measured on daily bars (2024-08-27 → 2026-08-27, 502 bars, 332 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
What works on EFA
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY | 75.0% | 66.7% | 100.0% | 4 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 30BUY | 75.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 4 |
| CCI cross -100BUY | 47.4% | 73.7% | 88.9% | 19 |
| Williams %R cross -80BUY | 58.6% | 69.0% | 88.0% | 29 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY | 88.9% | 77.8% | 75.0% | 9 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY | 60.0% | 66.7% | 86.7% | 15 |
| BB lower band bounceBUY | 28.6% | 57.1% | 85.7% | 7 |
| MACD bullish crossBUY | 42.3% | 52.0% | 82.6% | 26 |
| MFI cross 20BUY | 75.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 4 |
| MFI cross 80SELL | 66.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 3 |
| BB upper band rejectSELL | 45.0% | 52.9% | 23.5% | 20 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL | 75.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 4 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSELL | 55.6% | 22.2% | 37.5% | 9 |
| Williams %R cross -20SELL | 41.7% | 40.4% | 14.6% | 49 |
| CCI cross 100SELL | 40.0% | 34.1% | 12.2% | 45 |
| MACD bearish crossSELL | 44.4% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 27 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL | 45.0% | 28.9% | 11.4% | 40 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SELL | 8.3% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 12 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL | 33.3% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=EFA. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong) · Squeeze fire (bullish) · SMA 50/200 golden cross.
Why it moved
TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.
Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.