coin / What works on COIN
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on COIN, measured on daily bars (2024-08-29 → 2026-08-28, 501 bars, 302 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
What works on COIN
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) cross 30BUY | 60.0% | 40.0% | 80.0% | 5 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSELL | 45.5% | 60.0% | 70.0% | 11 |
| CCI cross 100SELL | 52.2% | 52.2% | 72.7% | 24 |
| Williams %R cross -80BUY | 51.4% | 60.0% | 50.0% | 37 |
| MACD bearish crossSELL | 52.6% | 55.6% | 70.6% | 19 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL | 57.9% | 47.4% | 68.4% | 21 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL | 66.7% | 60.0% | 40.0% | 6 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY | 50.0% | 53.8% | 52.2% | 26 |
| MACD bullish crossBUY | 57.9% | 50.0% | 43.8% | 19 |
| Williams %R cross -20SELL | 44.4% | 47.2% | 58.8% | 39 |
| CCI cross -100BUY | 34.8% | 45.5% | 45.0% | 23 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2 |
| BB lower band bounceBUY | 30.8% | 41.7% | 50.0% | 13 |
| MFI cross 20BUY | 50.0% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 6 |
| BB upper band rejectSELL | 56.2% | 31.2% | 53.3% | 18 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY | 36.4% | 50.0% | 33.3% | 11 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSELL | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 1 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SELL | 30.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 10 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL | 66.7% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 3 |
| MFI cross 80SELL | 0.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 2 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=COIN. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: RSI(14) cross 30 · EMA 9/21 death cross · CCI cross 100.
Why it moved
TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.
Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.