bnd / BND — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on BND

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on BND, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 320 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 75.0% · n=16HIST61.1%75.0%n=1684.6%16
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 78.1% · n=32HIST45.7%78.1%n=3279.3%32
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 64.7% · n=17HIST64.7%64.7%n=1775.0%17
CCI cross -100LONGWin 63.6% · n=22HIST45.8%63.6%n=2272.2%22
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=10HIST60.0%50.0%n=1060.0%10
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 46.2% · n=13STUDY38.5%46.2%n=1358.3%13
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 48.5% · n=33STUDY60.6%48.5%n=3340.6%33
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 47.8% · n=23STUDY47.8%47.8%n=2336.4%23
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 38.5% · n=13STUDY38.5%38.5%n=1341.7%13
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 40.0% · n=35STUDY54.3%40.0%n=3528.1%35
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 37.2% · n=43STUDY48.8%37.2%n=4328.2%43
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 35.3% · n=17STUDY58.8%35.3%n=1725.0%17
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY50.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY50.0%100.0%n=1100.0%1
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 75.0% · n=8STUDY45.5%75.0%n=862.5%8
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY50.0%50.0%n=2—2
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%25.0%n=450.0%4
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 33.3% · n=6STUDY33.3%33.3%n=650.0%6

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=BND. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for BND from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
70.17
High
70.27
Low
70.13
Close
70.25
Volume
10,364,500

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
70.22
R1
70.30
R2
70.36
R3
70.44
S1
70.16
S2
70.08
S3
70.02

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
70.39
SMA 50
71.18
SMA 200
71.89

Stored session 2026-10-12 in the daily top-100 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 41.3. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)41.3Neutral
Stochastic %K38.8Neutral
Williams %R-56.7Neutral
MFI(14)54.7Neutral
CCI(20)-26.7Neutral
MACD (12/26/9)-0.329above signal
SMA 2070.39close below
SMA 5071.18close below
SMA 20071.89close below
Pivot PP70.22close above PP
Pivot R170.30classic resistance
Pivot S170.16classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for BND are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 70.25 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on BND?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), BND printed open 70.17, high 70.27, low 70.13, close 70.25, volume 10,364,500. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 70.22, R1 70.30, R2 70.36, R3 70.44, S1 70.16, S2 70.08, S3 70.02. SMA 20 is 70.39; SMA 50 is 71.18; SMA 200 is 71.89. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on BND?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold) has Win 75.0% · n=16. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on BND (500 daily bars, 320 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is BND overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (0 overbought, 0 oversold, 5 neutral). RSI(14) is 41.3. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.