baba / BABA — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on BABA
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on BABA, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 303 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 54.5% · n=11HIST | 72.7% | 54.5%n=11 | 72.7% | 11 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 63.2% · n=19HIST | 38.1% | 63.2%n=19 | 66.7% | 19 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 62.5% · n=32HIST | 57.6% | 62.5%n=32 | 70.4% | 32 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 61.5% · n=26HIST | 38.5% | 61.5%n=26 | 68.2% | 26 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 53.8% · n=26HIST | 44.8% | 53.8%n=26 | 50.0% | 26 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 52.2% · n=23HIST | 58.3% | 52.2%n=23 | 65.0% | 23 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 52.2% · n=23HIST | 38.5% | 52.2%n=23 | 42.9% | 23 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=10HIST | 20.0% | 50.0%n=10 | 37.5% | 10 |
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 44.1% · n=34STUDY | 38.9% | 44.1%n=34 | 50.0% | 34 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 45.0% · n=20STUDY | 52.4% | 45.0%n=20 | 55.6% | 20 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 40.0% · n=15STUDY | 40.0% | 40.0%n=15 | 42.9% | 15 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=8STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=8 | 85.7% | 8 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 50.0% · n=4STUDY | 100.0% | 50.0%n=4 | 75.0% | 4 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY | 57.1% | 57.1%n=7 | 71.4% | 7 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY | 60.0% | 60.0%n=5 | 60.0% | 5 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=1STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 50.0% · n=6STUDY | 0.0% | 50.0%n=6 | 66.7% | 6 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 42.9% · n=7STUDY | 14.3% | 42.9%n=7 | 33.3% | 7 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 33.3% · n=3STUDY | 33.3% | 33.3%n=3 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 0.0% · n=3STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY | 0.0% | 0.0%n=2 | 0.0% | 2 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=BABA. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for BABA from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 110.14
- High
- 110.96
- Low
- 109.41
- Close
- 110.78
- Volume
- 6,804,100
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 110.38
- R1
- 111.36
- R2
- 111.93
- R3
- 112.90
- S1
- 109.81
- S2
- 108.84
- S3
- 108.26
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 109.69
- SMA 50
- 116.05
- SMA 200
- 128.99
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (1 overbought, 0 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 49.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 49.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K | 42.8 | Neutral |
| Williams %R | -19.9 | Overbought |
| MFI(14) | 25.5 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 19.2 | Neutral |
| MACD (12/26/9) | -1.455 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 109.69 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 116.05 | close below |
| SMA 200 | 128.99 | close below |
| Pivot PP | 110.38 | close above PP |
| Pivot R1 | 111.36 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 109.81 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for BABA are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 110.78 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on BABA?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), BABA printed open 110.14, high 110.96, low 109.41, close 110.78, volume 6,804,100. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 110.38, R1 111.36, R2 111.93, R3 112.90, S1 109.81, S2 108.84, S3 108.26. SMA 20 is 109.69; SMA 50 is 116.05; SMA 200 is 128.99. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on BABA?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, BB lower band bounce has Win 54.5% · n=11. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on BABA (500 daily bars, 303 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is BABA overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), oscillators are mixed or neutral (1 overbought, 0 oversold, 4 neutral). RSI(14) is 49.9. No majority overbought or oversold reading. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.