arm / ARM — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on ARM

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on ARM, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 313 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
CCI cross -100LONGWin 50.0% · n=20HIST70.0%50.0%n=2075.0%20
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 58.6% · n=29HIST55.2%58.6%n=2965.2%29
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 59.3% · n=27HIST51.9%59.3%n=2769.6%27
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 54.5% · n=11HIST50.0%54.5%n=1154.5%11
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=22HIST45.5%50.0%n=2252.6%22
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=22HIST59.1%50.0%n=2245.0%22
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 46.7% · n=15STUDY26.7%46.7%n=1557.1%15
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 45.7% · n=35STUDY52.8%45.7%n=3553.1%35
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 29.4% · n=17STUDY55.6%29.4%n=1752.9%17
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 32.0% · n=25STUDY53.8%32.0%n=2550.0%25
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 38.5% · n=26STUDY40.7%38.5%n=2646.2%26
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%50.0%n=2100.0%2
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=3STUDY100.0%100.0%n=366.7%3
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 71.4% · n=7STUDY75.0%71.4%n=742.9%7
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 57.1% · n=7STUDY50.0%57.1%n=771.4%7
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 40.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%40.0%n=580.0%5
MFI cross 20LONGWin 0.0% · n=7STUDY42.9%0.0%n=7100.0%7
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY37.5%62.5%n=875.0%8
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY33.3%50.0%n=850.0%8
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY100.0%100.0%n=10.0%1
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 25.0% · n=4STUDY50.0%25.0%n=450.0%4

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=ARM. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for ARM from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
260.30
High
263.24
Low
253.34
Close
255.24
Volume
3,585,600

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
257.27
R1
261.21
R2
267.17
R3
271.11
S1
251.31
S2
247.37
S3
241.41

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
289.74
SMA 50
270.18
SMA 200
220.83

Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read oversold. RSI(14) is 40.6. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)40.6Neutral
Stochastic %K3.6Oversold
Williams %R-97.7Oversold
MFI(14)40.1Neutral
CCI(20)-108.3Oversold
MACD (12/26/9)1.869below signal
SMA 20289.74close below
SMA 50270.18close below
SMA 200220.83close above
Pivot PP257.27close below PP
Pivot R1261.21classic resistance
Pivot S1251.31classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for ARM are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 255.24 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on ARM?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), ARM printed open 260.30, high 263.24, low 253.34, close 255.24, volume 3,585,600. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 257.27, R1 261.21, R2 267.17, R3 271.11, S1 251.31, S2 247.37, S3 241.41. SMA 20 is 289.74; SMA 50 is 270.18; SMA 200 is 220.83. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on ARM?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, CCI cross -100 has Win 50.0% · n=20. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on ARM (500 daily bars, 313 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is ARM overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read oversold. RSI(14) is 40.6. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.