aal / AAL — Lord of TA levels & hit rates

Historical hit rates, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Historical hit rates on AAL

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on AAL, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 307 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 55.6% · n=27HIST63.0%55.6%n=2757.7%27
MACD bullish crossLONGWin 66.7% · n=18HIST52.6%66.7%n=1858.8%18
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 45.8% · n=24STUDY52.0%45.8%n=2471.4%24
RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 40.0% · n=10STUDY40.0%40.0%n=1070.0%10
Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 37.9% · n=29STUDY40.0%37.9%n=2970.4%29
Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 48.6% · n=37STUDY51.3%48.6%n=3750.0%37
CCI cross -100LONGWin 36.4% · n=22STUDY45.5%36.4%n=2264.7%22
CCI cross 100SHORTWin 37.9% · n=29STUDY46.9%37.9%n=2953.6%29
BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 42.9% · n=14STUDY60.0%42.9%n=1450.0%14
BB lower band bounceLONGWin 30.8% · n=13STUDY46.2%30.8%n=1350.0%13
MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 38.9% · n=18STUDY33.3%38.9%n=1841.2%18
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY33.3%100.0%n=1100.0%1
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 66.7% · n=3STUDY75.0%66.7%n=3100.0%3
RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 66.7% · n=9STUDY44.4%66.7%n=988.9%9
EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY62.5%50.0%n=871.4%8
Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 60.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%60.0%n=560.0%5
SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY100.0%50.0%n=250.0%2
MFI cross 80SHORTWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY40.0%20.0%n=560.0%5
EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 50.0% · n=8STUDY50.0%50.0%n=833.3%8
Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 50.0% · n=2STUDY33.3%50.0%n=250.0%2
MFI cross 20LONGWin 20.0% · n=5STUDY60.0%20.0%n=525.0%5
SMA 50/200 death crossSHORTWin 0.0% · n=2STUDY0.0%0.0%n=20.0%2

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=AAL. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.

Prior-session levels

Classic levels for AAL from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

Prior session

Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.

Date
2026-10-12
Open
12.66
High
12.81
Low
12.57
Close
12.62
Volume
43,639,100

Classic floor pivots

Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.

P
12.67
R1
12.76
R2
12.91
R3
13.00
S1
12.52
S2
12.43
S3
12.28

Simple moving averages

Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.

SMA 20
13.13
SMA 50
13.75
SMA 200
13.76

This name is in the stored session 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)). Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.

Technicals snapshot

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read oversold. RSI(14) is 37.5. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.

Indicator Last bar Reading
RSI(14)37.5Neutral
Stochastic %K13.6Oversold
Williams %R-90.6Oversold
MFI(14)23.4Neutral
CCI(20)-105.3Oversold
MACD (12/26/9)-0.238below signal
SMA 2013.13close below
SMA 5013.75close below
SMA 20013.76close below
Pivot PP12.67close below PP
Pivot R112.76classic resistance
Pivot S112.52classic support

Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for AAL are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 12.62 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.

FAQ

What are the prior-session levels on AAL?

On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), AAL printed open 12.66, high 12.81, low 12.57, close 12.62, volume 43,639,100. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 12.67, R1 12.76, R2 12.91, R3 13.00, S1 12.52, S2 12.43, S3 12.28. SMA 20 is 13.13; SMA 50 is 13.75; SMA 200 is 13.76. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.

What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on AAL?

On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought) has Win 55.6% · n=27. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.

How many rules are measured?

This page scores 22 rank-panel rules on AAL (500 daily bars, 307 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.

Is this trade advice?

No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.

Is AAL overbought or oversold?

On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (3 of 5) read oversold. RSI(14) is 37.5. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.

Honest caveats

  • Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.