mrk / What works on MRK
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MRK, measured on daily bars (2024-08-27 → 2026-08-27, 502 bars, 336 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
What works on MRK
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 1 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY | 62.5% | 42.9% | 80.0% | 8 |
| MACD bullish crossBUY | 57.7% | 60.0% | 60.9% | 26 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL | 60.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 5 |
| MFI cross 80SELL | 42.9% | 50.0% | 66.7% | 7 |
| Williams %R cross -80BUY | 57.6% | 54.5% | 58.1% | 33 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY | 73.7% | 42.1% | 55.6% | 19 |
| BB lower band bounceBUY | 50.0% | 56.2% | 50.0% | 16 |
| CCI cross -100BUY | 52.4% | 61.9% | 50.0% | 21 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSELL | 58.3% | 58.3% | 54.5% | 12 |
| CCI cross 100SELL | 44.4% | 53.8% | 45.5% | 28 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL | 51.7% | 57.1% | 40.0% | 31 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SELL | 62.5% | 50.0% | 42.9% | 9 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY | 46.2% | 23.1% | 50.0% | 13 |
| MFI cross 20BUY | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Williams %R cross -20SELL | 47.2% | 45.7% | 34.4% | 37 |
| MACD bearish crossSELL | 44.0% | 29.2% | 36.4% | 25 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL | 50.0% | 25.0% | 37.5% | 8 |
| RSI(14) cross 30BUY | 44.4% | 22.2% | 33.3% | 9 |
| BB upper band rejectSELL | 57.1% | 38.5% | 16.7% | 16 |
| SMA 50/200 death crossSELL | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY | 50.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 6 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MRK. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: SMA 50/200 golden cross · Squeeze fire (bullish) · MACD bullish cross.
Why it moved
TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.
Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.