mpc / MPC — Lord of TA levels & hit rates
Historical hit rates on MPC
Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MPC, measured on daily bars (2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12, 500 bars, 306 firings). Not a buy or sell list.
| Rule | Win 5d | Win 1mo | Win 3mo | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams %R cross -80LONGWin 78.9% · n=19HIST | 65.0% | 78.9%n=19 | 83.3% | 19 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)LONGWin 76.5% · n=17HIST | 64.7% | 76.5%n=17 | 75.0% | 17 |
| CCI cross -100LONGWin 73.3% · n=15HIST | 80.0% | 73.3%n=15 | 64.3% | 15 |
| EMA 9/21 golden crossLONGWin 63.6% · n=11HIST | 54.5% | 63.6%n=11 | 81.8% | 11 |
| MACD bullish crossLONGWin 58.8% · n=17HIST | 63.2% | 58.8%n=17 | 75.0% | 17 |
| Williams %R cross -20SHORTWin 40.0% · n=35STUDY | 47.2% | 40.0%n=35 | 31.2% | 35 |
| CCI cross 100SHORTWin 37.0% · n=27STUDY | 48.3% | 37.0%n=27 | 32.0% | 27 |
| MFI cross 80SHORTWin 18.2% · n=11STUDY | 50.0% | 18.2%n=11 | 33.3% | 11 |
| Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SHORTWin 37.8% · n=37STUDY | 44.7% | 37.8%n=37 | 24.2% | 37 |
| MACD bearish crossSHORTWin 35.3% · n=17STUDY | 52.6% | 35.3%n=17 | 25.0% | 17 |
| EMA 9/21 death crossSHORTWin 36.4% · n=11STUDY | 54.5% | 36.4%n=11 | 27.3% | 11 |
| BB upper band rejectSHORTWin 27.8% · n=18STUDY | 44.4% | 27.8%n=18 | 26.7% | 18 |
| RSI(14) cross 70SHORTWin 25.0% · n=16STUDY | 23.5% | 25.0%n=16 | 7.1% | 16 |
| MFI cross 20LONGWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY | 100.0% | 100.0%n=2 | 100.0% | 2 |
| RSI(14) cross 30LONGWin 100.0% · n=4STUDY | 75.0% | 100.0%n=4 | 100.0% | 4 |
| SMA 50/200 golden crossLONGWin 100.0% · n=1STUDY | 0.0% | 100.0%n=1 | 100.0% | 1 |
| Squeeze fire (bullish)LONGWin 71.4% · n=7STUDY | 28.6% | 71.4%n=7 | 83.3% | 7 |
| BB lower band bounceLONGWin 62.5% · n=8STUDY | 37.5% | 62.5%n=8 | 75.0% | 8 |
| ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)LONGWin 71.4% · n=7STUDY | 50.0% | 71.4%n=7 | 50.0% | 7 |
| Squeeze fire (bearish)SHORTWin 100.0% · n=2STUDY | 66.7% | 100.0%n=2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SHORTWin 28.6% · n=7STUDY | 25.0% | 28.6%n=7 | 50.0% | 7 |
Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MPC. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing.
Prior-session levels
Classic levels for MPC from the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York). Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
Prior session
Open, high, low, close, and share volume of the daily bar on that session.
- Date
- 2026-10-12
- Open
- 461.86
- High
- 468.42
- Low
- 454.51
- Close
- 458.81
- Volume
- 1,519,700
Classic floor pivots
Classic floor pivots from that session's high (H), low (L), and close (C), the same formulas as the classic pivot-point indicator: P = (H+L+C)/3, R1 = 2P-L, S1 = 2P-H, R2 = P+(H-L), S2 = P-(H-L), R3 = H+2(P-L), S3 = L-2(H-P). Reference levels for the following session, not forecasts and not price targets.
- P
- 460.58
- R1
- 466.65
- R2
- 474.49
- R3
- 480.56
- S1
- 452.74
- S2
- 446.67
- S3
- 438.83
Simple moving averages
Simple moving averages of daily closes ending on session_date. SMA 20, SMA 50, and SMA 200. null means fewer than that many closes were available.
- SMA 20
- 417.06
- SMA 50
- 381.60
- SMA 200
- 268.96
Stored snapshot 2026-10-12 (saved_at 2026-10-12T20:21:48Z (2026-10-12 16:21:48 America/New_York)) records this name's open, high, low, and close from that write. This prior-session block uses the current daily bar for 2026-10-12. Daily top-100 levels archive. Tracked names.
Technicals snapshot
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (4 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 74.5. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice.
| Indicator | Last bar | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI(14) | 74.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic %K | 88.8 | Overbought |
| Williams %R | -12.3 | Overbought |
| MFI(14) | 68.4 | Neutral |
| CCI(20) | 152.0 | Overbought |
| MACD (12/26/9) | 20.318 | above signal |
| SMA 20 | 417.06 | close above |
| SMA 50 | 381.60 | close above |
| SMA 200 | 268.96 | close above |
| Pivot PP | 460.58 | close below PP |
| Pivot R1 | 466.65 | classic resistance |
| Pivot S1 | 452.74 | classic support |
Oscillators, MACD, and moving averages for MPC are the last completed US cash session on this page, the same session as Prior-session levels when that block is shown. Oscillator zones match the screener (RSI 70/30, Stochastic 80/20, Williams %R −20/−80, MFI 80/20, CCI 100/−100). SMA 20/50/200 are simple moving averages of closes through that session. Classic floor pivots (PP, R1, S1) use that session's high, low, and close, the same formulas as Prior-session levels. Last close 458.81 on 2026-10-12. Not a forecast.
FAQ
What are the prior-session levels on MPC?
On the last completed US cash session 2026-10-12 (America/New_York), MPC printed open 461.86, high 468.42, low 454.51, close 458.81, volume 1,519,700. Classic floor pivots from that bar: P 460.58, R1 466.65, R2 474.49, R3 480.56, S1 452.74, S2 446.67, S3 438.83. SMA 20 is 417.06; SMA 50 is 381.60; SMA 200 is 268.96. Descriptive market levels from daily bars. Not a forecast and not trade advice.
What is the 1-month hit rate of the top rule on MPC?
On daily bars through 2026-10-12, among rules with at least 10 measurable 1-month firings, Williams %R cross -80 has Win 78.9% · n=19. That is a historical measurement on this tape, not a forecast. Rows with n<10 are muted anecdotes and are not used as the FAQ headline.
How many rules are measured?
This page scores 21 rank-panel rules on MPC (500 daily bars, 306 firings, 2024-10-14 → 2026-10-12). Count is how many firings had a measurable 1-month forward return.
Is this trade advice?
No. These are historical hit rates of classic TA rules on daily bars, not a buy or sell list and not investment advice. See the help manual and methodology.
Is MPC overbought or oversold?
On the last completed daily bar (2026-10-12), a majority of oscillators (4 of 5) read overbought. RSI(14) is 74.5. Study reading of last-bar values, not a prediction / not trade advice. Oscillator zones are last-bar study readings, not a forecast.
Honest caveats
- Past ≠ future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
- No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
- Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
- Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.
Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.