mmm / What works on MMM

Historical hit rates for every rank-panel rule on MMM, measured on daily bars (2024-08-29 โ†’ 2026-08-28, 501 bars, 306 firings). Not a buy or sell list.

What works on MMM

Rule Win 5d Win 1mo Win 3mo Count
SMA 50/200 golden crossBUY100.0%100.0%100.0%2
BB lower band bounceBUY44.4%77.8%88.9%9
Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold)BUY45.0%75.0%89.5%20
MFI cross 80SELL60.0%60.0%100.0%5
ADX +DI/-DI cross (strong)BUY100.0%100.0%โ€”1
Williams %R cross -80BUY52.9%76.5%78.1%34
RSI(14) cross 70SELL50.0%44.4%100.0%10
RSI(14) cross 30BUY25.0%75.0%75.0%4
MFI cross 20BUY66.7%66.7%66.7%3
CCI cross -100BUY54.5%72.7%66.7%22
EMA 9/21 golden crossBUY53.3%60.0%64.3%15
MACD bullish crossBUY57.9%57.9%61.1%19
CCI cross 100SELL58.6%64.3%53.8%29
Squeeze fire (bullish)BUY63.6%63.6%44.4%11
Stoch %K/%D cross (overbought)SELL64.0%60.9%47.6%25
Williams %R cross -20SELL59.5%55.6%46.9%37
BB upper band rejectSELL47.4%52.6%35.7%19
MACD bearish crossSELL78.9%38.9%29.4%19
EMA 9/21 death crossSELL71.4%28.6%23.1%14
SMA 50/200 death crossSELL0.0%100.0%0.0%1
Squeeze fire (bearish)SELL50.0%0.0%0.0%4
ADX -DI/+DI cross (strong)SELL0.0%0.0%0.0%3

Interactive chart with the same engine: /?symbol=MMM. Fresh triggers across mega-caps: /firing. Rule write-ups: SMA 50/200 golden cross ยท BB lower band bounce ยท Stoch %K/%D cross (oversold).

Why it moved

TA on this site tells you which classic rule printed and whether it historically paid. It does not say why the stock moved. Options positioning is often why. SpotGamma maps that.

Optional: SpotGamma free tools. Nothing here is trade advice.

Honest caveats

  • Past โ‰  future. Everything here is a historical measurement on daily bars, not a prediction and not investment advice.
  • No costs modeled. Forward returns are close-to-close with no commissions, slippage or borrow.
  • Overlap bias. Signals that fire in clusters get credit for the same move more than once.
  • Small samples. A row with fewer than 10 firings is anecdote, not evidence.

Full method: help manual. Interactive chart: terminal.